My nephew tweeted a link to a New York Magazine article explaining why Bernie Sanders is a Bad Thing. The very liberal NY Times columnist Paul Krugman has a column with similar arguments in the Jan 18 New York Times. And on one level, I agree with both. Sanders is too bombastically left wing to have any chance of winning.
There is just one problem.
Hillary's problem putting Bernie away is indicative of the essential problem with Hillary. She will lose to any Republican who runs, because the closer we get to an actual election the more there will be way too may people who decide they just don't want to have Hillary and all the Clinton baggage in the White House, just like people are doing in the early primary states. I fear the people complaining about Bernie Sanders don't understand that the alternative is as unelectable, in part because they are part of the establishment, like Hillary has been part of the establishment, and they just don't understand how little appeal Hillary has to anyone who wants the country to take a different direction. Hillary won't lead the country Bernie's way, she won't lead it the Republican way, she'll just be another same-old same-old when we need something different.
Suggested reading: Washington Post columnist Richard Cohen rates Hillary's comments on the Flint, MI water crisis. She sent an aide, she put out a statement, she went on TV. Something that should be red meat for a Democrat to chew on, and she can't do it.
Of course Bernie Sanders is right about single payer health care. However long and potholed and rutted the way might be, if rather take my chances with a candidate who is willing to fight for what we need and compromise from there rather than pre-compromise. Because the Republicans don't do much of that any more. Whatever their promises, they want something and they just keep going for it. The Republican governor in North Carolina who wouldn't add abortion restrictions and is adding them. The Republican governor in Wisconsin who was only after the public employee unions and is now after all of them. The Republican governor in Kansas who is leading a failed experiment in supply side economics and is happy to keep leading it, leading it, leading it some more and was re-elected. I might not agree with any of these people,but I have the utmost respect for them. They have power. They use it. They lead unapologetically. That doesn't describe Hillary. If she has a point of view, no one would know what it is.
You spend a week in my office, you'll have an idea what I stand for and care about, what JABberwocky stands for and cares about. Spend thirty years with Hillary, and you end up with her caring less about Flint, MI than Rachel Maddow.
About Me
- The Brillig Blogger
- A blog wherein a literary agent will sometimes discuss his business, sometimes discuss the movies he sees, the tennis he watches, or the world around him. In which he will often wish he could say more, but will be obliged by business necessity and basic politeness and simple civility to hold his tongue. Rankings are done on a scale of one to five Slithy Toads, where a 0 is a complete waste of time, a 2 is a completely innocuous way to spend your time, and a 4 is intended as a geas compelling you to make the time.
Showing posts with label personals. Show all posts
Showing posts with label personals. Show all posts
Tuesday, January 19, 2016
Monday, January 18, 2016
My Eagle
I'm 51. Since Glenn Frey was my age, I believe I've been to only two concerts. Don Henley at Radio City Music Hall in 2000, and Don Henley at the Beacon Theatre just a few months ago.
Henley was, Henley is, "my" Eagle. I think Hotel California, with lead vocals by Henley, is the best Eagles song. If I walk into a store and hear New Kid in Town playing on the radio, I'll walk in and walk out. If I hear Hotel California, I'll linger, wait, hold off until the final notes have played, as Glenn Frey's final notes played today.
I wouldn't have Henley if I didn't have The Eagles. Henley and I wouldn't have The Eagles if it weren't for Glenn Frey. Henley far surpassed Frey as a solo artist, but I wouldn't have purchased Henley's album I Can't Stand Still if it weren't for The Eagles, for Frey. I wouldn't have my Dirty Laundry, down at the Sunset Grill, while Building the Perfect Beast for The Boys of Summer during the End of the Innocence. Henley proved himself to be more than The Eagles, but many of the songs in his solo career have their roots in The Eagles. The song writers were Eagles song writers, the instrumentations reflect the California easy rock of The Eagles, the tone and tenor are totally redolent of The Eagles. Henley's biggest hit, The Boys of Summer, wouldn't have been out of place on the album Hotel California, and Glenn Frey could easily have done the vocals.
I don't listen to music much at all, any more. Haven't really for years. But if you're wondering how to place this in my biography, Building the Perfect Beast is the only album I purchased on LP, cassette, and CD. In fact, it was the very first album I purchased to listen to on my very first CD players.
I meant to talk some about the Henley concert at the Beacon Theatre. As someone who works with creative types, I was fascinated by the dynamic, the yin/yang push/pull between Henley's desire to do whatever he damn well pleased because he could afford to, and his need to do what his fans wanted, because he couldn't afford not to.
It was a dynamic that didn't exist a way long time ago when I saw Mark Knopfler do a solo concert where he couldn't bring himself to do anything that might actually make a Dire Straits fan happy. He did some of their big hits, but it always felt like a car that was stalling as it got started, like tires spinning in ice. Mark Knopfler didn't give a shit, performed like he didn't give a shit, I left that night no longer giving a shit about Mark Knopfler, either.
So Henley did weird covers, but it was actually kind of interesting to hear Don Henley do a take on "I've Got a Spell on You." Not, really, what I paid to see. But worth hearing.
He did the occasional deep catalog surprise.
Less satisfying, Henley did song after song after song from his new album. Sadly, more than enough songs for anyone to tell that the new album wasn't near as good as the old albums. The orchestrations and instrumentations might have fit comfortably on the old albums. The melodies might have fit comfortably on the old albums. Alas, the lyrics wouldn't have fit at all. The songs Henley and his collaborators wrote for his albums in the 1980s and 1990s had a richness not just of sound but of emotion, a depth of feeling as resonant as the trombone solos on Sunset Grill. The new songs don't have that. They have one note. I got Cass County the weekend it came out as one of those things you do at my age, buying the physical product to have on the shelf and to support the artist who meant something once. I heard almost every song on the album at the concert. And the plastic shrink wrap is still covering up the CD, because Henley made it abundantly clear that it's not worth my time to get to know this album further.
But ultimately, Henley did every song you came to see. Just when you thought you were stuck in Cass County forever and ever, out came three of the classics. Done well. Performed with heart. With a voice that's surprisingly resonant after all these years. That was a lot like the song you listened to over and over again, a decade and another decade and another gone by.
It wasn't a cheap night out. Didn't find out about the concert until long after it was on sale. StubHub had me at "hello." Not a problem; if you do something every fifteen years there's no harm in splurging on it. I paid to see Don Henley, but I also did it because of Glenn Frey.
Henley was, Henley is, "my" Eagle. I think Hotel California, with lead vocals by Henley, is the best Eagles song. If I walk into a store and hear New Kid in Town playing on the radio, I'll walk in and walk out. If I hear Hotel California, I'll linger, wait, hold off until the final notes have played, as Glenn Frey's final notes played today.
I wouldn't have Henley if I didn't have The Eagles. Henley and I wouldn't have The Eagles if it weren't for Glenn Frey. Henley far surpassed Frey as a solo artist, but I wouldn't have purchased Henley's album I Can't Stand Still if it weren't for The Eagles, for Frey. I wouldn't have my Dirty Laundry, down at the Sunset Grill, while Building the Perfect Beast for The Boys of Summer during the End of the Innocence. Henley proved himself to be more than The Eagles, but many of the songs in his solo career have their roots in The Eagles. The song writers were Eagles song writers, the instrumentations reflect the California easy rock of The Eagles, the tone and tenor are totally redolent of The Eagles. Henley's biggest hit, The Boys of Summer, wouldn't have been out of place on the album Hotel California, and Glenn Frey could easily have done the vocals.
I don't listen to music much at all, any more. Haven't really for years. But if you're wondering how to place this in my biography, Building the Perfect Beast is the only album I purchased on LP, cassette, and CD. In fact, it was the very first album I purchased to listen to on my very first CD players.
I meant to talk some about the Henley concert at the Beacon Theatre. As someone who works with creative types, I was fascinated by the dynamic, the yin/yang push/pull between Henley's desire to do whatever he damn well pleased because he could afford to, and his need to do what his fans wanted, because he couldn't afford not to.
It was a dynamic that didn't exist a way long time ago when I saw Mark Knopfler do a solo concert where he couldn't bring himself to do anything that might actually make a Dire Straits fan happy. He did some of their big hits, but it always felt like a car that was stalling as it got started, like tires spinning in ice. Mark Knopfler didn't give a shit, performed like he didn't give a shit, I left that night no longer giving a shit about Mark Knopfler, either.
So Henley did weird covers, but it was actually kind of interesting to hear Don Henley do a take on "I've Got a Spell on You." Not, really, what I paid to see. But worth hearing.
He did the occasional deep catalog surprise.
Less satisfying, Henley did song after song after song from his new album. Sadly, more than enough songs for anyone to tell that the new album wasn't near as good as the old albums. The orchestrations and instrumentations might have fit comfortably on the old albums. The melodies might have fit comfortably on the old albums. Alas, the lyrics wouldn't have fit at all. The songs Henley and his collaborators wrote for his albums in the 1980s and 1990s had a richness not just of sound but of emotion, a depth of feeling as resonant as the trombone solos on Sunset Grill. The new songs don't have that. They have one note. I got Cass County the weekend it came out as one of those things you do at my age, buying the physical product to have on the shelf and to support the artist who meant something once. I heard almost every song on the album at the concert. And the plastic shrink wrap is still covering up the CD, because Henley made it abundantly clear that it's not worth my time to get to know this album further.
But ultimately, Henley did every song you came to see. Just when you thought you were stuck in Cass County forever and ever, out came three of the classics. Done well. Performed with heart. With a voice that's surprisingly resonant after all these years. That was a lot like the song you listened to over and over again, a decade and another decade and another gone by.
It wasn't a cheap night out. Didn't find out about the concert until long after it was on sale. StubHub had me at "hello." Not a problem; if you do something every fifteen years there's no harm in splurging on it. I paid to see Don Henley, but I also did it because of Glenn Frey.
Saturday, January 16, 2016
Politics!
One of the things I hate about politics, politicians, and the people who support them is the complete inconsistency of their morality -- i.e., things that are 100% acceptable and which should, must, have to be totally overlooked when your guy does it are 100% wrong and heinous and awful when the other guy does it.
A quick example of this: Could you imagine how the right wing propaganda machine would be humming if a major Democratic figure had been caught outright lying about the funding of their campaign, if some sob story about sacrificing all to run for office turned out to be "Goldman Sachs gave me a loan, and after I knew I'd be getting the loan, I put all my own money into the campaign."
That's what Ted Cruz did, and the story's gotten surprisingly little traction.
And much as I don't like Ted Cruz, I think everyone should consider him a natural-born citizen eligible to be President of the United State.
But at the same time, much as I don't like Donald Trump, I'll give him points for questioning Cruz's citizenship. Because it at least demonstrates a moral consistency, being willing to go after a Republican the same way he went after Obama on the same issue.
That's a lot better than the professional politician who happily changes his mind every time the party in the Oval Office changes hands. Confirming justices is good or bad, depending. Using executive orders is good or bad, depending. Well - no. You can disagree on the particular executive order all you want, or the particular judge or justice. But your entire world view on the legitimacy of the tactics used in pursuit of political power shouldn't change based on the identity of the person or party exercising that power.
A quick example of this: Could you imagine how the right wing propaganda machine would be humming if a major Democratic figure had been caught outright lying about the funding of their campaign, if some sob story about sacrificing all to run for office turned out to be "Goldman Sachs gave me a loan, and after I knew I'd be getting the loan, I put all my own money into the campaign."
That's what Ted Cruz did, and the story's gotten surprisingly little traction.
And much as I don't like Ted Cruz, I think everyone should consider him a natural-born citizen eligible to be President of the United State.
But at the same time, much as I don't like Donald Trump, I'll give him points for questioning Cruz's citizenship. Because it at least demonstrates a moral consistency, being willing to go after a Republican the same way he went after Obama on the same issue.
That's a lot better than the professional politician who happily changes his mind every time the party in the Oval Office changes hands. Confirming justices is good or bad, depending. Using executive orders is good or bad, depending. Well - no. You can disagree on the particular executive order all you want, or the particular judge or justice. But your entire world view on the legitimacy of the tactics used in pursuit of political power shouldn't change based on the identity of the person or party exercising that power.
Labels:
Donald Trump,
personals,
politics,
rants,
Ted Cruz
Thursday, May 21, 2015
Balticon Schedule
I'm always excited to be going to Balticon.
My first convention as an agent was the Balticon where Elizabeth Moon was presented with the Compton Crook Award for Sheepfarmer's Daughter, and taking things full circle this year, E. L. Tettensor was a finalist this year for her debut novel Darkwalker.
Here's where you'll find me this weekend:
Friday May 22, 17:00 5pm
A Glimpse Behind the Curtain - The Business Side of Writing (Salon C)
there's a lot of ground to cover in a panel like this, which will be a rich reward for people who can get to Balticon early in its run.
Saturday May 23 17:00 5pm
Beyond Creative Commons (Tack)
the program book says this is a panel about moving from free pod-casting to selling your audios. I hope I'm supposed to be the moderator, since I may have more questions than answers.
Saturday May 23 20:00 8pm
Tales From the Slush Pile (Tack)
My iPad has lots of bad queries ready to be read! Learn what not to do, so you can do it right yourself.
Sunday May 24 14:30 2:30 pm
Dragons of Dorcastle Book Launch (Concierge Lounge)
PARTY!
Join "Jack Campbell" (the NYT bestselling pen name for John Hemry) as we celebrate the e-book and POD release of his new novel "The Dragons of Dorcastle," an Audible studios original for audio publication that's now available direct from JABberwocky in other formats.
And along for the ride -- Joshua Palmatier, with Temporarily Out of Order from his "Zombies Need Brains" and his own "Shattering the Ley"
PARTY -- FOOD -- FREE FOOD, actually!!
Sunday May 24 19:00 7pm
How to Incorporate Critique (Chase)
You've gotten your feedback. Now what?
Revising a novel is as important as writing it in the first place, so this is a must-attend for people hoping to find themselves on the JABberwocky client roster.
Balticon is one of only a handful of times during 2015 when I'll be at a convention, and when you can meet up with me in person and find the key to opening my closed door to queries.
My first convention as an agent was the Balticon where Elizabeth Moon was presented with the Compton Crook Award for Sheepfarmer's Daughter, and taking things full circle this year, E. L. Tettensor was a finalist this year for her debut novel Darkwalker.
Here's where you'll find me this weekend:
Friday May 22, 17:00 5pm
A Glimpse Behind the Curtain - The Business Side of Writing (Salon C)
there's a lot of ground to cover in a panel like this, which will be a rich reward for people who can get to Balticon early in its run.
Saturday May 23 17:00 5pm
Beyond Creative Commons (Tack)
the program book says this is a panel about moving from free pod-casting to selling your audios. I hope I'm supposed to be the moderator, since I may have more questions than answers.
Saturday May 23 20:00 8pm
Tales From the Slush Pile (Tack)
My iPad has lots of bad queries ready to be read! Learn what not to do, so you can do it right yourself.
Sunday May 24 14:30 2:30 pm
Dragons of Dorcastle Book Launch (Concierge Lounge)
PARTY!
Join "Jack Campbell" (the NYT bestselling pen name for John Hemry) as we celebrate the e-book and POD release of his new novel "The Dragons of Dorcastle," an Audible studios original for audio publication that's now available direct from JABberwocky in other formats.
And along for the ride -- Joshua Palmatier, with Temporarily Out of Order from his "Zombies Need Brains" and his own "Shattering the Ley"
PARTY -- FOOD -- FREE FOOD, actually!!
Sunday May 24 19:00 7pm
How to Incorporate Critique (Chase)
You've gotten your feedback. Now what?
Revising a novel is as important as writing it in the first place, so this is a must-attend for people hoping to find themselves on the JABberwocky client roster.
Balticon is one of only a handful of times during 2015 when I'll be at a convention, and when you can meet up with me in person and find the key to opening my closed door to queries.
Labels:
Balticon,
conventions,
john hemry,
Joshua Palmatier,
personals
Thursday, January 15, 2015
Stupid Security Cocktails
So Hachette was having a cocktail reception this afternoon for literary agents to show off their beautiful new open plan offices.
To which I RSVPed on December 15.
Now, I'm curious as I walk up what kind of security thing they'll have, because having dozens or hundreds of agents waiting in line for their building passes would be kind of silly.
So they have this check-in desk with a little Hachette sign and people holding scads of pre-printed bar-coded building passes. And we're told that these are under the agency names, and I say I'm there from JABberwocky, and like half the people on line, I'm told "we don't have your badge; you'll have to check in with the main desk" where you need to get a nice individual photo guest barcoded badge.
And I just didn't feel like it.
Did they have the badge under my name even though I was told twice it should be under the agency's name? The email signature on my RSVP did just have my name on it and not the company name, though in theory if they're checking the RSVPs the database list would have both, and if they aren't certain, maybe somebody could check both my name and the agency's name, but Person A might have one letter of the alphabet and Person B might have the other letter, and do I really want to spend my time asking them "are you sure, do you want to check under name name as well as the agency name" when they're all so sure the badge is under the agency name?
What's the point of the security charade anyway, because pretty much anyone can say they're here for the Hachette reception and get a badge regardless of whether they're on the list or not. So just walk over to 1290 Avenue of the Americas right this instant, wait on the first line, then have them tell you to go on the second line, and you're golden. You can do whatever you want. Shit, tell them you're Joshua Bilmes.
It's just bullshit, and I've got better things to do with my time than deal with bullshit in order to get a glass of wine or champagne from Hachette Book Group.
Like write a quick blog post to call Vornado, the landlord of Hachette's building, and Hachette, on their bullshit. This is stupid security theatre. It's scores or hundreds of agents each having to wait on line, or on multiple lines, for three or five minutes. It's five hours of productive time on this Earth that's lost for no reason at all.
To which I RSVPed on December 15.
Now, I'm curious as I walk up what kind of security thing they'll have, because having dozens or hundreds of agents waiting in line for their building passes would be kind of silly.
So they have this check-in desk with a little Hachette sign and people holding scads of pre-printed bar-coded building passes. And we're told that these are under the agency names, and I say I'm there from JABberwocky, and like half the people on line, I'm told "we don't have your badge; you'll have to check in with the main desk" where you need to get a nice individual photo guest barcoded badge.
And I just didn't feel like it.
Did they have the badge under my name even though I was told twice it should be under the agency's name? The email signature on my RSVP did just have my name on it and not the company name, though in theory if they're checking the RSVPs the database list would have both, and if they aren't certain, maybe somebody could check both my name and the agency's name, but Person A might have one letter of the alphabet and Person B might have the other letter, and do I really want to spend my time asking them "are you sure, do you want to check under name name as well as the agency name" when they're all so sure the badge is under the agency name?
What's the point of the security charade anyway, because pretty much anyone can say they're here for the Hachette reception and get a badge regardless of whether they're on the list or not. So just walk over to 1290 Avenue of the Americas right this instant, wait on the first line, then have them tell you to go on the second line, and you're golden. You can do whatever you want. Shit, tell them you're Joshua Bilmes.
It's just bullshit, and I've got better things to do with my time than deal with bullshit in order to get a glass of wine or champagne from Hachette Book Group.
Like write a quick blog post to call Vornado, the landlord of Hachette's building, and Hachette, on their bullshit. This is stupid security theatre. It's scores or hundreds of agents each having to wait on line, or on multiple lines, for three or five minutes. It's five hours of productive time on this Earth that's lost for no reason at all.
Labels:
Hachette,
Homeland 'Security',
personals,
rants,
vornado
Friday, December 12, 2014
Two Way Streets
Did you know that Uber drivers get to rank you, just like you get to rank them?
And when you summon an Uber, drivers can decide not to pick you up based on your passenger rating?
In theory, ratings and reviews are always a good thing, but I'm not always sure.
Generally, I've had good rides with Uber, but when I took an Uber from my hotel to LAX a few weeks ago, it wasn't a very good ride at all. The driver decided to park across the street from my hotel rather than in the hotel's carport, even though we needed to make an easy right turn out of the carport, there was no obstacle to turning into the carport, and no obstacle in the carport. The driver didn't offer to help wheel my luggage across the street to his car, which would be a nice thing to do if you're deciding to park across the street for no reason. Then when we ran into traffic and the "10" looked really really backed up, the driver had little awareness of the alternate routes. When we got to the airport, and there was a clearly marked sign to go left to cut across the "U" shape of the main terminal area at LAX to get to our terminal, and I even pointed this out to the driver, the driver didn't feel like taking the left because he knew it wasn't the right way to our terminal. Um, he was wrong.
So how am I, the passenger, supposed to behave during this ride from hell?
Because if I don't protect my passenger rating with Uber, who knows what might happen the next time I need to get one...
And just as an aside, my experiences with Beverly Hills and LA cabbies have often been pretty miserable, with drivers who wouldn't know their way from the bed to the bathroom without a GPS, let alone from Beverly Hills to Burbank, and waiting times are usually longer. My average with Uber has been better, even if this single ride was probably the single worst.
The same thing happens when I go to a writer's conference. At many of these conferences, all the attending writers get to grade me, and my grade might determine whether I get invited back to the conference.
So what do I do when I have someone with the worst idea sitting across from me in the pitch session, or the absolute worst pitch? I could politely give constructive criticism regarding the pitch. I could give some constructive criticism on the really really bad idea. Or not. Because it's a lot simpler to be less than helpful during the pitch session, invite the author to send something along, and then deliver a bland rejection two weeks or two months later. One course of action, you're actually delivering value to the author by providing the sort of constructive criticism that might help the author improve at their craft and presentation. The other, you're protecting your rating and doing the easier and arguably more polite thing by not spoiling the face-to-face moment. You do whatever you want after the conference, it doesn't change the ranking that gets turned in at the end of the conference.
Even if the attending agents or editors aren't specifically aware that they are being graded, the default tendency will still be to take the course of least resistance and do your rejecting after the conference rather than during. Which will make any outlier who does the rejecting at the pitch session itself that much more of an outlier.
So should we get rated? After all, Uber shouldn't want passengers throwing up in their cars, and I wouldn't want such a person in my car. Authors can invest hundreds of dollars in registration and travel fees for a writer's conference, and you don't want to have them filled with agents and editors who aren't giving value.
And yet the existence of the ratings encourages bad behavior.
And when you summon an Uber, drivers can decide not to pick you up based on your passenger rating?
In theory, ratings and reviews are always a good thing, but I'm not always sure.
Generally, I've had good rides with Uber, but when I took an Uber from my hotel to LAX a few weeks ago, it wasn't a very good ride at all. The driver decided to park across the street from my hotel rather than in the hotel's carport, even though we needed to make an easy right turn out of the carport, there was no obstacle to turning into the carport, and no obstacle in the carport. The driver didn't offer to help wheel my luggage across the street to his car, which would be a nice thing to do if you're deciding to park across the street for no reason. Then when we ran into traffic and the "10" looked really really backed up, the driver had little awareness of the alternate routes. When we got to the airport, and there was a clearly marked sign to go left to cut across the "U" shape of the main terminal area at LAX to get to our terminal, and I even pointed this out to the driver, the driver didn't feel like taking the left because he knew it wasn't the right way to our terminal. Um, he was wrong.
So how am I, the passenger, supposed to behave during this ride from hell?
Because if I don't protect my passenger rating with Uber, who knows what might happen the next time I need to get one...
And just as an aside, my experiences with Beverly Hills and LA cabbies have often been pretty miserable, with drivers who wouldn't know their way from the bed to the bathroom without a GPS, let alone from Beverly Hills to Burbank, and waiting times are usually longer. My average with Uber has been better, even if this single ride was probably the single worst.
The same thing happens when I go to a writer's conference. At many of these conferences, all the attending writers get to grade me, and my grade might determine whether I get invited back to the conference.
So what do I do when I have someone with the worst idea sitting across from me in the pitch session, or the absolute worst pitch? I could politely give constructive criticism regarding the pitch. I could give some constructive criticism on the really really bad idea. Or not. Because it's a lot simpler to be less than helpful during the pitch session, invite the author to send something along, and then deliver a bland rejection two weeks or two months later. One course of action, you're actually delivering value to the author by providing the sort of constructive criticism that might help the author improve at their craft and presentation. The other, you're protecting your rating and doing the easier and arguably more polite thing by not spoiling the face-to-face moment. You do whatever you want after the conference, it doesn't change the ranking that gets turned in at the end of the conference.
Even if the attending agents or editors aren't specifically aware that they are being graded, the default tendency will still be to take the course of least resistance and do your rejecting after the conference rather than during. Which will make any outlier who does the rejecting at the pitch session itself that much more of an outlier.
So should we get rated? After all, Uber shouldn't want passengers throwing up in their cars, and I wouldn't want such a person in my car. Authors can invest hundreds of dollars in registration and travel fees for a writer's conference, and you don't want to have them filled with agents and editors who aren't giving value.
And yet the existence of the ratings encourages bad behavior.
Monday, October 13, 2014
Curseburg
I am extremely happy that the Washington Nationals got drummed out of the NL playoffs early, and for as long as Stephen Strasburg is playing baseball, I want for them never to advance to the World Series.
Stephen Strasburg himself? If he goes to another team in a trade or free agency, he can win all the World Series rings he wants. Just none with the Nationals.
Why?
So two years ago, the Nationals has Stephen Strasburg on an innings limit because he was recoving from Tommy John surgery, and when the Nationals advanced to the playoffs, they refused to let Stephen Strasburg pitch because of this innings limit. This was a controversial decision, and a decision that I disagreed with strenuously.
It's not that I am opposed to any innings limits for pitchers. My 16-year-old nephew has been playing a lot of baseball in both spring and fall leagues from Little League on. I've never noticed my brother to be one of those fathers who wants for his son to win at all costs, but such fathers exist. And there are coaches who don't care about the kids and make coaching kids all about them. And there are kids who need to be protected from themselves, just like there are NFL players who need to be protected from going back out onto the field with a concussion. In fact, there should probably be stricter limits on kids playing baseball than there are, since it's so much easier now than was once the case for a kid to do baseball, baseball and more baseball twelve months a year with spring little league leading into summer travel league leading into fall league. Everything in moderation, and the arms of young growing teenagers ought to be taken care of.
But when it comes to Major League pitchers, teams have all sorts of policies about how to take care of their pitchers, but there's no actual evidence that any of these things work. It's not like the Nationals went all out with Strasburg before his injury, but there he is having Tommy John surgery in 2011, and that's hardly unique in the sport.
And most Major League players will tell you that they play to win the World Series. And to earn money, of course, but winning the World Series is right up there.
If there was actual evidence to show that Stephen Strasburg needed to be protected from himself or from his manager over-working him -- shut him down. If the Nationals aren't in the playoffs -- shut him down. If you aren't comfortable with the risk, then don't undertake when the reward isn't there.
But the Nationals were in the playoffs, playing to get to and win the World Series. And you never know what tomorrow will bring. Look at the Nationals. After their big 2012, they went nowhere in 2013. And after their big regular season in 2014, they went nowhere in the playoffs. Part of their bad 2013 was that everyone was going on the DL. At least 7 Nationals pitchers went on the DL in 2013, and then hardly any went on the DL in 2014. That happens a lot in baseball. Teams have good and bad years for injuries.
But nobody actually knows how to protect pitchers in the Major Leagues from injuring their arms. Yes, the Nationals GM said loud and long that anyone who was criticizing his decision in 2012 just didn't know the facts and the evidence, but if the Nationals know so much, how did they end up putting so many pitchers on the DL in 2013? The Nationals should've given Strasburg the chance at his World Series ring in 2012. I'd love for Strasburg to win a World Series ring, just not with the Nationals.
Stephen Strasburg himself? If he goes to another team in a trade or free agency, he can win all the World Series rings he wants. Just none with the Nationals.
Why?
So two years ago, the Nationals has Stephen Strasburg on an innings limit because he was recoving from Tommy John surgery, and when the Nationals advanced to the playoffs, they refused to let Stephen Strasburg pitch because of this innings limit. This was a controversial decision, and a decision that I disagreed with strenuously.
It's not that I am opposed to any innings limits for pitchers. My 16-year-old nephew has been playing a lot of baseball in both spring and fall leagues from Little League on. I've never noticed my brother to be one of those fathers who wants for his son to win at all costs, but such fathers exist. And there are coaches who don't care about the kids and make coaching kids all about them. And there are kids who need to be protected from themselves, just like there are NFL players who need to be protected from going back out onto the field with a concussion. In fact, there should probably be stricter limits on kids playing baseball than there are, since it's so much easier now than was once the case for a kid to do baseball, baseball and more baseball twelve months a year with spring little league leading into summer travel league leading into fall league. Everything in moderation, and the arms of young growing teenagers ought to be taken care of.
But when it comes to Major League pitchers, teams have all sorts of policies about how to take care of their pitchers, but there's no actual evidence that any of these things work. It's not like the Nationals went all out with Strasburg before his injury, but there he is having Tommy John surgery in 2011, and that's hardly unique in the sport.
And most Major League players will tell you that they play to win the World Series. And to earn money, of course, but winning the World Series is right up there.
If there was actual evidence to show that Stephen Strasburg needed to be protected from himself or from his manager over-working him -- shut him down. If the Nationals aren't in the playoffs -- shut him down. If you aren't comfortable with the risk, then don't undertake when the reward isn't there.
But the Nationals were in the playoffs, playing to get to and win the World Series. And you never know what tomorrow will bring. Look at the Nationals. After their big 2012, they went nowhere in 2013. And after their big regular season in 2014, they went nowhere in the playoffs. Part of their bad 2013 was that everyone was going on the DL. At least 7 Nationals pitchers went on the DL in 2013, and then hardly any went on the DL in 2014. That happens a lot in baseball. Teams have good and bad years for injuries.
But nobody actually knows how to protect pitchers in the Major Leagues from injuring their arms. Yes, the Nationals GM said loud and long that anyone who was criticizing his decision in 2012 just didn't know the facts and the evidence, but if the Nationals know so much, how did they end up putting so many pitchers on the DL in 2013? The Nationals should've given Strasburg the chance at his World Series ring in 2012. I'd love for Strasburg to win a World Series ring, just not with the Nationals.
Labels:
baseball,
personals,
stephen strasburg
Me And My Movie
This fall season marks both my 50th birthday and the 20th anniversary of establishing JABberwocky Literary Agency. To celebrate, I screened a film at the Museum of the Moving Image for a select group from virtually all phases of my life. I didn't name the film in the invitation, though the invitations included references to enough of the catch phrases immortalized by the film that it wasn't exactly a state secret.
Here, slightly edited, are the program notes I prepared:
----------------------------------------
When Jerry Maguire opened on Dec. 13, 1996, I sat down to see it projected (in 35mm, on part of the screen) on the Imax at the Loews Lincoln Square.
I was expecting to like it.
I didn’t realize that I was about as close to my autobiography as Hollywood is likely to get.
The “expecting to like” is easy; it was Tom Cruise in a Cameron Crowe movie, with a decent coming attraction.
Tom Cruise and I have very special relationship. Top Gun is extra special to me. That movie wasn't the first film I saw at the Loews Astor Plaza, which was the best movie theatre in Manhattan. But it was the first movie I saw at the Astor Plaza after starting at JABberwocky. Before, I was visiting the Astor Plaza. After, I was living there. And over the thirteen years that separated Top Gun from Jerry Maguire, Tom Cruise had a misfire or two (Days of Thunder, Interview with the Vampire), but for the most part, he was hitting it out of the park every time up to the plate. Rain Man, The Color of Money, Born of the Fourth of July, The Firm, A Few Good Men, Mission: Impossible. Even Cocktail and Far and Away -- if you think they worked (and I did, at least at the time I first saw), they worked because of Tom. The films were generally hugely successful at the box office. They were also more often than not hugely successful artistically. The directors or screenwriters included the likes of Barry Levinson, Rob Reiner, Martin Scorsese, Brian de Palma, Ron Howard, Oliver Stone, Tony Scott and Sydney Pollack. All have made significant contributions to cinema. And the co-stars? Paul Newman, Dustin Hoffman, Robert Duvall, Brad Pitt. These movies garnered a lot of Oscar nominations for people besides Tom Cruise, whose artistic contributions to cinema over a long career are, I think, under-appreciated.
And then Cameron Crowe. 25 years later we still reference the classic scene in Say Anything of John Cusack's Lloyd Dobler holding up his boom box to woo his girlfriend. And in 1996 when Jerry Maguire was open, that classic scene was much nearer in the past. There was a frisson to a new Cameron Crowe film. But Say Anything was good on many levels, including the overall quality of the performances. Not just John Cusack's defining performance, but the best performance from John Mahoney. Forget Frasier. Has Mahoney ever been better than Lloyd Dobler’s nemesis, the father who doesn’t want Lloyd dating his daughter.
For both Cruise and Crowe, their movies were often my soundtrack. Working with music supervisor Danny Bramson, Say Anything and Singles were full of great tunes. Bramson's one of the best at this. He also helped pick the music for the very lyrical Bull Durham soundtrack. Rain Man had one of Hans Zimmer’s best scores. The Color of Money was full of great tunes. There were the soaring trumpet solos in John Williams’ Fourth of July score, and the jazzy piano of Dave Grusin’s music for The Firm.
So Tom Cruise was going to be in a Cameron Crowe movie.
Which was not just my soundtrack, but my life.
Jerry Maguire and I -- it turned out we were both agents who’d come to have issues with our bosses.
I’d been working at the Scott Meredith Literary Agency. Scott Meredith died. The people with the clients and the money walked out the door to start their own agency. A rich guy purchased Scott Meredith and had lots and lots of bad ideas, and I made a very conscious decision that I wasn’t going to just agree with them all. Working for Scott hadn’t been fun; I didn’t need to bend over backwards to work for another bad boss. A year-and-some after the agency was sold, did I know the day I was fired, twenty years ago this month, that I was going to be fired? No. But when the office was being renovated in the summer of 1994, I wasn’t entirely joking when I told people I got a fax to have at home just in case the boss had other plans for me.
After Jerry wrote his mission statement, he knew there might be repercussions. He knew just about the moment he hit “save.” He didn’t know Sugar was taking him to lunch to fire him, but deep down, he wasn’t shocked by the news.
The phone jockeying that followed? That was me, twenty years ago this month. My boss, he didn’t care about my clients. If he wanted my clients, he wouldn’t have fired me. But boy, did I spend a lot of time on the phone in October 1994. I had a $300+ phone bill that month. Because even if I wasn’t competing with my boss, I was competing with the Scott Meredith guys that had broken off 18 months earlier, and any and every other option besides me that any of my clients might have had. Jerry Maguire’s a movie. In real life, I doubt there’d be the crying gymnast picking up the wrong line. But in its essence, every moment Jerry spends on the phone that afternoon is entirely real.
I’m not sure if it’s me or Jerry who headed off to our own businesses with a bigger stock of naiveté. I talked to an accountant enough to understand I’d have self-employment tax weighing down on me whether I was actually making any money or not, but my “business plan” was a sheet of my Scott Meredith memo paper where I roughed out that I needed $24-25K in commission my first year, that I knew where half of it would come from, and that I would come up with the other half. But honestly, I never thought much about doing anything else. And while Jerry Maguire and I both settled into home offices, for me the home office was all I needed. Jerry Maguire needed more. He had a much bigger income potential because he was representing big-time athletes, not a bunch of sf/fantasy authors that were little known outside their fields. But he had champagne tastes. He needed the fancy suits and the fancy cars and the ability to look rich and act rich and compete with Bob Sugar. I was fine settling into my one bedroom and moving furniture around to make room for a desk (cheap do-it-yourself from Staples), a filing cabinet, and a hand-me-down copier from my parents.
So Jerry Maguire might have been nominated for five Academy Awards: Picture, Actor (Cruise), Supporting Actor (Gooding Jr. who won), Screenplay (Crowe) and Editing. It might have spawned a sea of catch phrases that are as or more enduring as Lloyd Dobler holding up his boom box in Say Anything. That’s not why we’re here watching Jerry Maguire today. There are other favorite films of mine that have probably aged better which are even more iconic.
Here is why we’re here:
When I sat in the Lincoln Square on that Friday night in 1994, having paid full tariff for a Manhattan ticket at a time when my first choice was always the Saturday bargain matineee in Queens, my story was unfolding in real time with Jerry’s. I laughed a lot. Too much; I earned some weird looks from people in the row behind me who couldn’t fully appreciate the jokes, because who else but me really could? But I squirmed a little bit. I wasn’t sure how the health insurance bills were going to be paid, or when or if I’d ever get a big offer coming across my fax machine. I was two years into starting a business that spent five years working its way out of neutral. I was still hoping to have Jerry Maguire’s happy ending. And today, there’s no better way to say I had that happy ending than to be able to share Jerry Maguire with you.
---------------------------------------
And what would I say after seeing Jerry Maguire again this weekend?
I own DVDs and BluRays, but I don't do them. They're there for decoration. I live in New York City, there are lots of movies to see, and I don't sit in my apartment to do them.
Which means there are films I love that I see over and over again because they're easy to see. As an example, if I wanted to see The Shining, I could do that lots between Kubrick retrospectives or midnight showings or whatever. Jerry Maguire isn't one of those films. I haven't actually watched it in a while.
And in my notes above, I underestimated it. The movie has aged pretty well, and is even more iconic than I remembered. The number of little bits of dialogue in this film that have taken on a life of their own goes so far beyond just "show me the money" or "you complete me." I don't know how many of them Crowe made up and how many he'd heard and used, but so much of the movie is in popular culture 18 years ago because it's in this movie.
In 1996, I could most appreciate the movie's tonal accuracy for the stuff at the beginning. I was two years off from my own phone jockeying. Which still feels accurate from a twenty-year remove. But now I can appreciate it for so much more, especially at the end of the movie. Cuba Gooding, Jr.'s Rod Tidwell has his big game and gets his big contract. It's very Hollywood, with Tidwell taking a big hit and being knocked out and doing this whole dance and the terms of his contract are revealed as a surprise on an ESPN interview show. But if you cut away all the Hollywood trappings, every emotional beat is right. Jerry Maguire, walking around the stadium after Tidwell's big game, is pretty much feeling the exact same beats that I felt a year ago, watching Brandon Sanderson win the Hugo Award for "The Emperor's Soul," and then hanging out with Brandon that night going for a celebratory late night nosh. It was so dead-on right that I found myself tearing up at the ending. I hadn't expected that.
So Cameron Crowe's screenplay is a masterpiece.
It doesn't get the emotional beats of being an agent right just by chance. It doesn't fill itself up with cultural references just by chance. These perfect words don't write themselves.
The acting. This I knew. Strangely enough, both Jay Mohr and John Mahoney have the same initials. Both are better known for stuff on TV. Both give their best performances in a movie directed by Cameron Crowe. Ione Skye? Renée Zellwegger? Again, both probably have their iconic roles in a Cameron Crowe movie. Cuba Gooding, Jr. Same thing. Lili Taylor is hiding out in Say Anything. Donal Logue (Harvey Dent on Gotham) is hiding out in Jerry Maguire. Cast long enough, any movie you do can have someone important doing an early role, but Crowe -- he seems to keep doing it.
What a darned good movie.
Labels:
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Cameron Crowe,
Cuba Gooding Jr.,
Jay Mohr,
jerry maguire,
John Cusack,
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Tom Cruise
Thursday, October 2, 2014
Up and Down and In The Middle
I am a big fan of The Middle, which I think is an under-rated and under-appreciated part of ABC's Wednesday comedy line-up.
But as much as I enjoyed the episode that aired on October 1, I was also kind of down on it, because the main story-line deals with college admissions and financial aid in a way that perpetuates the worst kind of thinking, the kind of thinking that keeps people in the middle down rather than helping them up.
Basic premise of the show: working class family with two parents who work hard and never get ahead, with three kids to feed and a house and a mortgage and bills. The middle kid is Sue, who's surrounded by two brothers and who is a font of sometimes misplaced enthusiasm. She's tried out for every club or sport in the school, usually to very bad results, but she's slowly been getting her act a little more together, starting to find boys and a little more common sense and a little more assertiveness in the right places.
In this episode, Sue announces that she's retaken her ACTs, gotten a much better score, and can now set her sites on so many more schools that are so much better. Which sends her parents into a panic, because there's no money, so how can they afford to send her to any of these really nice schools, so they get second jobs because they're going to do everything they can to get their daughter into the good college she wants.
Funny? Yes. It's rare that the show isn't funny. The main story-line sees the mom working from home with one of those airline call center jobs that doesn't require being in the call center. But as she says, the job means working from her home, with all the distractions from her three kids, which goes rather poorly in ways that are quite richly humorous. The dad gets a scene of two wearing a uniform that's very fast food in a way we don't usually see the father. And the B and C storylines are as good as the main one. The son in his sophomore year at college decides to walk off with his share of the family's possessions to stock his first student housing apartment. The youngest sone finds all of the noisy toys his parents had taken from him 10 years ago hiding in the basement. Sue and a friend of hers work on a school play that's way funnier than Waiting for Godot.
But the basic premise is just wrong.
One of the biggest problems with disadvantage kids getting into good colleges is that they won't apply in the first place. They don't understand that the schools might offer financial aid, that they might be able to aim higher and afford it. And this episode totally buys into that idea. I guess in theory if both parents work dead-end jobs for 25 hours a week, that's 25x2 is 50 hours, and that could be $500 or $600 a year (or $400) and that's an extra $20K or $30K before taxes. And they've got three kids. Well, that's not going to cover rack rate at a college. It's a farce, but not the kind of farce that the show is thinking it is.
No. Wrong.
Why don't the writers and producers of The Middle find the humor in a show that models better behavior, where Sue and her parents decide that they're going to apply to the best schools possible and Sue is going to chase every scholarship she can possibly chase. Or they can go looking for schools that waive the application fee, or find out that they're poor but that they make $10.23 too much to qualify for the application fee waiver. Even if that goes as poorly as their efforts to have these dead-end second jobs, at least it's modeling a better idea. It's modeling for a parent that maybe they should encourage instead of discouraging if a child wants to aim high and pray for financial aid rather than aiming low because that's all the family can afford. Maybe it helps a child decide they can do Sue one better and succeed where she doesn't at getting a scholarship because it's Sue, the child who can't succeed at a tryout for anything and in the real world they're better.
I'm not asking The Middle not to be The Middle. I've been watching this family since June 2009 when I started laughing out loud in the middle of an airplane sampling an episode on the in-seat TV. I know these characters. I know there's plenty of humor that's just right for The Middle in the better version of this episode, and they don't need to turn The Middle into The Message in order to put a better message into the middle of their 22 minutes.
But as much as I enjoyed the episode that aired on October 1, I was also kind of down on it, because the main story-line deals with college admissions and financial aid in a way that perpetuates the worst kind of thinking, the kind of thinking that keeps people in the middle down rather than helping them up.
Basic premise of the show: working class family with two parents who work hard and never get ahead, with three kids to feed and a house and a mortgage and bills. The middle kid is Sue, who's surrounded by two brothers and who is a font of sometimes misplaced enthusiasm. She's tried out for every club or sport in the school, usually to very bad results, but she's slowly been getting her act a little more together, starting to find boys and a little more common sense and a little more assertiveness in the right places.
In this episode, Sue announces that she's retaken her ACTs, gotten a much better score, and can now set her sites on so many more schools that are so much better. Which sends her parents into a panic, because there's no money, so how can they afford to send her to any of these really nice schools, so they get second jobs because they're going to do everything they can to get their daughter into the good college she wants.
Funny? Yes. It's rare that the show isn't funny. The main story-line sees the mom working from home with one of those airline call center jobs that doesn't require being in the call center. But as she says, the job means working from her home, with all the distractions from her three kids, which goes rather poorly in ways that are quite richly humorous. The dad gets a scene of two wearing a uniform that's very fast food in a way we don't usually see the father. And the B and C storylines are as good as the main one. The son in his sophomore year at college decides to walk off with his share of the family's possessions to stock his first student housing apartment. The youngest sone finds all of the noisy toys his parents had taken from him 10 years ago hiding in the basement. Sue and a friend of hers work on a school play that's way funnier than Waiting for Godot.
But the basic premise is just wrong.
One of the biggest problems with disadvantage kids getting into good colleges is that they won't apply in the first place. They don't understand that the schools might offer financial aid, that they might be able to aim higher and afford it. And this episode totally buys into that idea. I guess in theory if both parents work dead-end jobs for 25 hours a week, that's 25x2 is 50 hours, and that could be $500 or $600 a year (or $400) and that's an extra $20K or $30K before taxes. And they've got three kids. Well, that's not going to cover rack rate at a college. It's a farce, but not the kind of farce that the show is thinking it is.
No. Wrong.
Why don't the writers and producers of The Middle find the humor in a show that models better behavior, where Sue and her parents decide that they're going to apply to the best schools possible and Sue is going to chase every scholarship she can possibly chase. Or they can go looking for schools that waive the application fee, or find out that they're poor but that they make $10.23 too much to qualify for the application fee waiver. Even if that goes as poorly as their efforts to have these dead-end second jobs, at least it's modeling a better idea. It's modeling for a parent that maybe they should encourage instead of discouraging if a child wants to aim high and pray for financial aid rather than aiming low because that's all the family can afford. Maybe it helps a child decide they can do Sue one better and succeed where she doesn't at getting a scholarship because it's Sue, the child who can't succeed at a tryout for anything and in the real world they're better.
I'm not asking The Middle not to be The Middle. I've been watching this family since June 2009 when I started laughing out loud in the middle of an airplane sampling an episode on the in-seat TV. I know these characters. I know there's plenty of humor that's just right for The Middle in the better version of this episode, and they don't need to turn The Middle into The Message in order to put a better message into the middle of their 22 minutes.
Sunday, March 23, 2014
The Unbearable Heaviness of Unpaid Content
For over 30 years, I have been a devout reader of Variety.
Now, I hate the actual printed magazine. It doesn't take long to read, maybe fifteen or twenty minutes in a good week. And this quick read comes in the form of an oversize magazine printed on heavy coated white paper. Who wants to go around on the subway holding a heavy, oversized magazine that doesn't take very long to read and which requires lots and lots of page turns? The magazine is as annoying as it is informative.
However, the printed magazine is now only a small portion of the total content Variety offers. Every week there are dozens of articles and reviews and columnists to be found on the magazine's website that aren't to be found in the weekly magazine.
There is no paywall on the website. The owner of Variety has made a business decision not to charge for its content.
I prefer content like this in print. There are week-long stretches when I have plenty of time to sit at my computer or use their iPad app and devour all the content the website has to offer, but there are other times when it would be so much nicer to have a printed publication with more of the content which I can read outside when it is too cold for the iPad, or when I am on cellular data. I spend enough of my life at a computer and it keeps dragging me to spend more of it there.
It's a dilemma.
Maybe less of one, maybe easier to pay, if I just didn't like the magazine. But no. I actively dislike the magazine. It is an annoyance. I dread seeing it arrive in my mailbox each week. There is no way to subscribe to the magazine without casting a vote in its favor, and that isn't a vote I wish to cast. I guess I could get an "online subscription" but why would anyone do that when all the content is there for free? As a result of a conscious business decision by the owner.
It feels kind of like putting money into a tip jar, only in this case it would be the tip jar of the wealthy owner of Penske Media who made a decision not to charge for content, and to develop a magazine I don't want to read.
So why does it still feel wrong not to pay?
Now, I hate the actual printed magazine. It doesn't take long to read, maybe fifteen or twenty minutes in a good week. And this quick read comes in the form of an oversize magazine printed on heavy coated white paper. Who wants to go around on the subway holding a heavy, oversized magazine that doesn't take very long to read and which requires lots and lots of page turns? The magazine is as annoying as it is informative.
However, the printed magazine is now only a small portion of the total content Variety offers. Every week there are dozens of articles and reviews and columnists to be found on the magazine's website that aren't to be found in the weekly magazine.
There is no paywall on the website. The owner of Variety has made a business decision not to charge for its content.
I prefer content like this in print. There are week-long stretches when I have plenty of time to sit at my computer or use their iPad app and devour all the content the website has to offer, but there are other times when it would be so much nicer to have a printed publication with more of the content which I can read outside when it is too cold for the iPad, or when I am on cellular data. I spend enough of my life at a computer and it keeps dragging me to spend more of it there.
It's a dilemma.
Maybe less of one, maybe easier to pay, if I just didn't like the magazine. But no. I actively dislike the magazine. It is an annoyance. I dread seeing it arrive in my mailbox each week. There is no way to subscribe to the magazine without casting a vote in its favor, and that isn't a vote I wish to cast. I guess I could get an "online subscription" but why would anyone do that when all the content is there for free? As a result of a conscious business decision by the owner.
It feels kind of like putting money into a tip jar, only in this case it would be the tip jar of the wealthy owner of Penske Media who made a decision not to charge for content, and to develop a magazine I don't want to read.
So why does it still feel wrong not to pay?
Thursday, December 5, 2013
Racing Downhill
More bad news for most of us this week, with a federal judge ruling that Detroit can go into bankruptcy and cut pensions, Illinois legislators voting on a bill to cut pensions there, another judge ruling that employers can force employees to arbitrate and not have an option of class action suits.
I have a deeply ambivalent relationship to public employee unions. While I believe very strongly in the right to form a union and collectively bargain, public employee unions have much better luck gaming the system by making contributions to the politicians who then determine how much money to give the union workers. In the private sector, an independent labor union can't game the system, at least not this way. In the private sector too often the interests of my representative are more aligned with the unions than the public purse.
But that said, the attack on benefits that were won in negotiations reflects a distressing tendency in public life these days, which is to solve your problems by making everyone else as miserable as you are. Your employer's dumped your pension in favor of some 401-K? Well, you can't get your 401-K back but you can cheer on as someone else's pension gets dumped too! Yay! Win!
Sorry, it's not.
If you think it is, you might enjoy reading this Rolling Stone article about how we're "saving" pensions by giving money to Wall Street.
So in Detroit, a lot of not very rich people, many of whom are still living in Detroit, are going to see their retirement income cut, which will reduce what they can spend, which will reduce the economy in Detroit, which is going to save Detroit. For the most part, these people aren't the people who made any of the decisions on what contract terms to agree to, on how to fund pensions, they're innocent bystanders who are going to be hurt.
While states and localities across the country are cutting back pensions left and right, they are engaged in madcap competitions to give Boeing hundreds of millions of dollars in tax breaks and other incentives to encourage them to locate an assembly line for a new version of the 777 in their state. Boeing makes billions of dollars, and it wasn't enough to have the State of Washington give billions of dollars in tax breaks if the unions for the skilled workers who build the planes didn't agree to share in the "sacrifice" of these billions of dollars in profits and tax breaks for the company by agreeing to givebacks.
Hunger Games: Catching Fire has taken in hundreds of millions of dollars in global box office and will make huge profits for Lionsgate. It filmed in Georgia to take advantage of tax breaks, and again, states and localities across the country are engaged in this race to give huge film companies that are part of major media conglomerates tax breaks to entice productions from one state to another.
Can people see the problem here? Even as we silently cheer or to too little to protest attacks on the working men and women of this country, we also cheer when our states take the money they're saving and give it to very rich companies in pursuit of a zero sum game of taking business from one state or locality to another.
I'm not even sure, at the end of the day, that these kinds of tax breaks do very much for the states and localities that give them. Oh, they can find statistics that say that the film tax breaks are worth their weight in gold, but you know what they say about statistics. Against that, there's this icky feeling that the only way you can get business is to bribe it to come your way. There's this icky feeling, or at least there should be, in supporting companies that don't really support you, that feel they're entitled to take government money, screw workers as much as they can, in pursuit of the almighty buck.
And as with too many policies supported by corporations, it's kind of short-sighted. Take Walmart. Walmart is kind of getting creamed by a lot of government policies. Food stamp cuts take money out of the hands of Walmart shoppers, and thus out of the hands of Walmart. If Walmart paid its employees more, a lot of money would come right back into Walmart stores. If this were to happen as a result of an increase in the minimum wage that would force Walmart competitors to pay more as well, it wouldn't disadvantage Walmart, because Target and even Amazon which still needs warehouse workers would face the same labor cost pressures as Walmart. But Walmart does everything it can to keep downtrodden employees downtrodden. It threatens to pick up its toys if cities talk about raising their minimum wage or passing living wage laws (some of those do target Walmart, but if Walmart would advocate for a global increase in the minimum wage it would face less targeted living wage legislation). Even as it downgrades its earnings forecast because people don't have money to spend, it won't help give people more spending money.
For a competing perspective, enjoy this article somebody tweeted out to us several weeks ago from investors.com, which rails against how we are becoming dependent on government largesse. 108M+ people on means-tested government welfare programs, 101M+ people with full-time jobs.
It ignores a few basic facts. Minimum wage is under $8. 8x35x52 -- that's under $15K for a full-time employee. When I grew up and looked behind the counter at Burger King, I saw a lot of people my age. That was over 30 years ago. Now, the people at Burger King and Walmart aren't teenagers working for gas money. They're people trying to support a family on $15K a year, unless they have two jobs or have two incomes or something like that. How can you possibly do that? How are you going to help these people by cutting food stamps? And did you know that over half of personal bankruptcies are caused by medical expenses? Most jobs that pay $8 an hour don't, pre Obama-care, come with good health insurance. You can't buy your own when you're making $15K a year. I'm lucky; I make enough money that I'm now seeing my take-home take a four-figure annual drop because of Affordable Care Act taxes. Unlike most people, I don't think my income benefits by making life worse for other people. My income benefits when people have money to buy books, when they have money to go to college and get educated because educated people buy more books, when they have time to spend with their kids talking to them and working with them on homework and reading too them rather than rushing from one bad job to another because a single minimum wage job isn't enough, not able to afford good child care and hoping the car doesn't break down and that everyone in the family stays super healthy.
I have a deeply ambivalent relationship to public employee unions. While I believe very strongly in the right to form a union and collectively bargain, public employee unions have much better luck gaming the system by making contributions to the politicians who then determine how much money to give the union workers. In the private sector, an independent labor union can't game the system, at least not this way. In the private sector too often the interests of my representative are more aligned with the unions than the public purse.
But that said, the attack on benefits that were won in negotiations reflects a distressing tendency in public life these days, which is to solve your problems by making everyone else as miserable as you are. Your employer's dumped your pension in favor of some 401-K? Well, you can't get your 401-K back but you can cheer on as someone else's pension gets dumped too! Yay! Win!
Sorry, it's not.
If you think it is, you might enjoy reading this Rolling Stone article about how we're "saving" pensions by giving money to Wall Street.
So in Detroit, a lot of not very rich people, many of whom are still living in Detroit, are going to see their retirement income cut, which will reduce what they can spend, which will reduce the economy in Detroit, which is going to save Detroit. For the most part, these people aren't the people who made any of the decisions on what contract terms to agree to, on how to fund pensions, they're innocent bystanders who are going to be hurt.
While states and localities across the country are cutting back pensions left and right, they are engaged in madcap competitions to give Boeing hundreds of millions of dollars in tax breaks and other incentives to encourage them to locate an assembly line for a new version of the 777 in their state. Boeing makes billions of dollars, and it wasn't enough to have the State of Washington give billions of dollars in tax breaks if the unions for the skilled workers who build the planes didn't agree to share in the "sacrifice" of these billions of dollars in profits and tax breaks for the company by agreeing to givebacks.
Hunger Games: Catching Fire has taken in hundreds of millions of dollars in global box office and will make huge profits for Lionsgate. It filmed in Georgia to take advantage of tax breaks, and again, states and localities across the country are engaged in this race to give huge film companies that are part of major media conglomerates tax breaks to entice productions from one state to another.
Can people see the problem here? Even as we silently cheer or to too little to protest attacks on the working men and women of this country, we also cheer when our states take the money they're saving and give it to very rich companies in pursuit of a zero sum game of taking business from one state or locality to another.
I'm not even sure, at the end of the day, that these kinds of tax breaks do very much for the states and localities that give them. Oh, they can find statistics that say that the film tax breaks are worth their weight in gold, but you know what they say about statistics. Against that, there's this icky feeling that the only way you can get business is to bribe it to come your way. There's this icky feeling, or at least there should be, in supporting companies that don't really support you, that feel they're entitled to take government money, screw workers as much as they can, in pursuit of the almighty buck.
And as with too many policies supported by corporations, it's kind of short-sighted. Take Walmart. Walmart is kind of getting creamed by a lot of government policies. Food stamp cuts take money out of the hands of Walmart shoppers, and thus out of the hands of Walmart. If Walmart paid its employees more, a lot of money would come right back into Walmart stores. If this were to happen as a result of an increase in the minimum wage that would force Walmart competitors to pay more as well, it wouldn't disadvantage Walmart, because Target and even Amazon which still needs warehouse workers would face the same labor cost pressures as Walmart. But Walmart does everything it can to keep downtrodden employees downtrodden. It threatens to pick up its toys if cities talk about raising their minimum wage or passing living wage laws (some of those do target Walmart, but if Walmart would advocate for a global increase in the minimum wage it would face less targeted living wage legislation). Even as it downgrades its earnings forecast because people don't have money to spend, it won't help give people more spending money.
For a competing perspective, enjoy this article somebody tweeted out to us several weeks ago from investors.com, which rails against how we are becoming dependent on government largesse. 108M+ people on means-tested government welfare programs, 101M+ people with full-time jobs.
It ignores a few basic facts. Minimum wage is under $8. 8x35x52 -- that's under $15K for a full-time employee. When I grew up and looked behind the counter at Burger King, I saw a lot of people my age. That was over 30 years ago. Now, the people at Burger King and Walmart aren't teenagers working for gas money. They're people trying to support a family on $15K a year, unless they have two jobs or have two incomes or something like that. How can you possibly do that? How are you going to help these people by cutting food stamps? And did you know that over half of personal bankruptcies are caused by medical expenses? Most jobs that pay $8 an hour don't, pre Obama-care, come with good health insurance. You can't buy your own when you're making $15K a year. I'm lucky; I make enough money that I'm now seeing my take-home take a four-figure annual drop because of Affordable Care Act taxes. Unlike most people, I don't think my income benefits by making life worse for other people. My income benefits when people have money to buy books, when they have money to go to college and get educated because educated people buy more books, when they have time to spend with their kids talking to them and working with them on homework and reading too them rather than rushing from one bad job to another because a single minimum wage job isn't enough, not able to afford good child care and hoping the car doesn't break down and that everyone in the family stays super healthy.
Labels:
Affordable Care Act,
economics,
personals,
rants
Wednesday, September 18, 2013
Guns & Butter
After the gun shootings at the theatre in Aurora or the school in Connecticut, those of us who favor gun control were told that the problem was, in fact, gun control. If there had been people in the theatre or teachers/security guards in the school who had guns, then somebody would have stopped the shooter and it would have been so much better for everyone.
This week's shooting took place on a government military installation, and 12 people died.
It might have been worse. The gunman had to "settle" for buying a handgun when Virginia state law didn't allow him to buy something more powerful.
From what I've read, the shooting spree might have been extended when the gunman was able to take a gun from one of his victims.
I'm not sure how to square this with the whole idea that gun control costs lives, and that having more people with more guns saves them.
I will certainly be told that the problem isn't with gun laws or the lack of gun laws. The problem will be the lack of enforcement, or that this guy was a bad apple and nobody connected the dots, and he never should have had a security clearance and never should have been allowed on base.
All of these things are true.
But if all of those things had been equally true, and it had been harder for him to buy a gun...
Everything else which we consider to be a bad thing, we make it harder to do. If we want less gun violence, we should make guns harder to have.
This week's shooting took place on a government military installation, and 12 people died.
It might have been worse. The gunman had to "settle" for buying a handgun when Virginia state law didn't allow him to buy something more powerful.
From what I've read, the shooting spree might have been extended when the gunman was able to take a gun from one of his victims.
I'm not sure how to square this with the whole idea that gun control costs lives, and that having more people with more guns saves them.
I will certainly be told that the problem isn't with gun laws or the lack of gun laws. The problem will be the lack of enforcement, or that this guy was a bad apple and nobody connected the dots, and he never should have had a security clearance and never should have been allowed on base.
All of these things are true.
But if all of those things had been equally true, and it had been harder for him to buy a gun...
Everything else which we consider to be a bad thing, we make it harder to do. If we want less gun violence, we should make guns harder to have.
Monday, August 26, 2013
The Never-Ending War
So New For 2013, as the main draw of the US Open tennis begins Monday, they have announced that this year everyone will get to be wanded and go through a magnetometer.
Why?
For the past ten years, you've only been able to bring in one small bag, and that one small bag has been hand-inspected as you go in. There's no way that the Boston Marathon scenario could repeat at the US Open as it has been run, security wise, for the past decade.
Adding a magnetometer adds no additional security.
None.
Nada.
Zilch.
Of course, it is a nice make-work program, because now the company that provides the security forces for the US Open gets to hire more people! Most of these people are temps of some or another sort, and I am sure the contractor that provides this service for the Open makes a nice additional profit.
Of course, it is a nice make-work program for the people who make wands and magnetometers.
Of course it makes everyone feel so much more secure. Even though it doesn't add any actual security.
It does add nicely to the time people will spend queuing to get into the Open. Let's be very conservative and say that it's just an extra two minutes. That's very very conservative. But there are 40,000 people a day going to the open, so that's 80,000 minutes, for 14 days. That's over two years of lost time.
Just dandy.
And of course, there's no going backward on any of this. The day will never come when the polie or anyone else will say that the world has gotten safer and we can go back and do less, spend less money and lose less time and less productivity and still be reasonably safe. It will only get worse. Because no matter what we do, we will never be 100% safe. There is risk to everything we do every day, and some day some other bad thing will happen that will require us to come up with some other layer of security.
Happy happy joy joy.
Why?
For the past ten years, you've only been able to bring in one small bag, and that one small bag has been hand-inspected as you go in. There's no way that the Boston Marathon scenario could repeat at the US Open as it has been run, security wise, for the past decade.
Adding a magnetometer adds no additional security.
None.
Nada.
Zilch.
Of course, it is a nice make-work program, because now the company that provides the security forces for the US Open gets to hire more people! Most of these people are temps of some or another sort, and I am sure the contractor that provides this service for the Open makes a nice additional profit.
Of course, it is a nice make-work program for the people who make wands and magnetometers.
Of course it makes everyone feel so much more secure. Even though it doesn't add any actual security.
It does add nicely to the time people will spend queuing to get into the Open. Let's be very conservative and say that it's just an extra two minutes. That's very very conservative. But there are 40,000 people a day going to the open, so that's 80,000 minutes, for 14 days. That's over two years of lost time.
Just dandy.
And of course, there's no going backward on any of this. The day will never come when the polie or anyone else will say that the world has gotten safer and we can go back and do less, spend less money and lose less time and less productivity and still be reasonably safe. It will only get worse. Because no matter what we do, we will never be 100% safe. There is risk to everything we do every day, and some day some other bad thing will happen that will require us to come up with some other layer of security.
Happy happy joy joy.
Labels:
Homeland 'Security',
personals,
rants,
tennks
Saturday, June 29, 2013
The Longest Established Permanent Floating Thing I Do
We change, you know.
We think the things we're doing will always be the things we're doing, but we change.
Sometimes even the things that don't seem to be changing, change. As an example, I've been a literary agent for over 25 years, but the job description within the job has changed multiple times. I've had the same job, two employers (one of them being myself), and probably close to half a dozen job descriptions.
But for me, there's one thing that hasn't, and that's going to the movies.
And the earliest movie that I can place seeing at a particular theatre dates back to when I was five. We saw Airport at Radio City Music Hall. Would my younger brother had been with a baby sitter? It's hard even to think about.
And since my parents didn't believe in film ratings and took us to everything... Deliverance at the Plaza Cinema, or stopping for Godfather, which I think we might have done as a side trip returning from visiting family in upstate New York.
Sleeper in Manhattan the next year. One show was sold out, we walked across town to another show that was sold out, and then back again to the original theatre.
I can remember the drive that seemed to last forever to see Earthquake in Sensurround at the Cinema 46 in Totowa, NJ.
Montclair, NJ over the holidays, to see Network, and then stopping by actual non-Jewish family friends to hang out around their Christmas tree afterwards.
Drives up to Monticello in 1977 to see The Spy Who Loved Me at the theatre downtown, or to see Star Wars at the theatre by the dying mall on the outskirts of town.
The Brinks Job at the Sack Cheri in 1979, which we would have seen the same weekend that I got those free samples of Omni from the Boskone dealer's room, setting me on my current path. So the thing to remember here is that I have movie-going memories that date back almost seven years further than the career path.
No, I can't remember every single movie I saw, and I couldn't tell you which theatre I went to for every single movie I can remember seeing.
But think about your own life, and ask yourself what are the things you can still remember from when you were in kindergarten, and the things that you can remember from 40 years ago.
That's the movies, for me. The thing I've been doing, memorably and enjoyably doing, for longer than anything.
And hey, take a screen shot, print out the blog, in a few decades when I'm closing in on 90, let's see if I can remember the first batch of movies for this weekend, Filling the Void and 20 Feet From Stardom at the Kew Gardens Cinema. And bonus credit if I can remember that Filling the Void was on Screen 3, which is the big one at this cinema.
Pauline Kael I'm not. I haven't lost it at the movies, not yet at least. But I promise to keep trying.
We think the things we're doing will always be the things we're doing, but we change.
Sometimes even the things that don't seem to be changing, change. As an example, I've been a literary agent for over 25 years, but the job description within the job has changed multiple times. I've had the same job, two employers (one of them being myself), and probably close to half a dozen job descriptions.
But for me, there's one thing that hasn't, and that's going to the movies.
And the earliest movie that I can place seeing at a particular theatre dates back to when I was five. We saw Airport at Radio City Music Hall. Would my younger brother had been with a baby sitter? It's hard even to think about.
And since my parents didn't believe in film ratings and took us to everything... Deliverance at the Plaza Cinema, or stopping for Godfather, which I think we might have done as a side trip returning from visiting family in upstate New York.
Sleeper in Manhattan the next year. One show was sold out, we walked across town to another show that was sold out, and then back again to the original theatre.
I can remember the drive that seemed to last forever to see Earthquake in Sensurround at the Cinema 46 in Totowa, NJ.
Montclair, NJ over the holidays, to see Network, and then stopping by actual non-Jewish family friends to hang out around their Christmas tree afterwards.
Drives up to Monticello in 1977 to see The Spy Who Loved Me at the theatre downtown, or to see Star Wars at the theatre by the dying mall on the outskirts of town.
The Brinks Job at the Sack Cheri in 1979, which we would have seen the same weekend that I got those free samples of Omni from the Boskone dealer's room, setting me on my current path. So the thing to remember here is that I have movie-going memories that date back almost seven years further than the career path.
No, I can't remember every single movie I saw, and I couldn't tell you which theatre I went to for every single movie I can remember seeing.
But think about your own life, and ask yourself what are the things you can still remember from when you were in kindergarten, and the things that you can remember from 40 years ago.
That's the movies, for me. The thing I've been doing, memorably and enjoyably doing, for longer than anything.
And hey, take a screen shot, print out the blog, in a few decades when I'm closing in on 90, let's see if I can remember the first batch of movies for this weekend, Filling the Void and 20 Feet From Stardom at the Kew Gardens Cinema. And bonus credit if I can remember that Filling the Void was on Screen 3, which is the big one at this cinema.
Pauline Kael I'm not. I haven't lost it at the movies, not yet at least. But I promise to keep trying.
Thursday, June 20, 2013
The Surveillance State
A week back, Thomas Friedman, the distinguished author and columnist for the New York Times, wrote a column approving of the NSA's surveillance and monitoring of metadata of email and phone calls for pretty much everyone.
His argument: I like civil liberties, civil liberties will take it on the chin even more than they are now if we have another 9-11 style attack. So the government should do all that is can to prevent another such attack, and if that's what the surveillance is doing, I'm in favor of it. Also, that this has been going on for two American presidencies now.
What an idiot!
OK, I mean, Thomas Friedman isn't an idiot, and there's a certain soothing logic to his column which reflects an opinion that's apparently shared by a lot of my fellow Americans.
But it's wrong, it's misguided, and quite obviously so.
It took me several days of mulling over Thomas Friedman's soothing article to zone in on the basic fallacy, but once you do, it's really quite simple.
And that fallacy is this: There is no guarantee that any of the NSA programs will stop another 9-11 type attack. The fact that the Boston Marathon bombings could take place is kind of proof positive that we cannot be 100% protected from terrorist activity. Since neither Thomas Friedman nor President Obama nor the head of the CIA or NSA or Senator Diane Feinstein (D-CA) or Speaker John Bonier (R-OH) or any of the other many people defending this surveillance cannot guarantee that their efforts will not protect us 100% from another 9-11, I would respectfully ask that my 4th Amendment rights be protected and that the government not go vacuuming up information on every single phone call I make. And that the government not go vacuuming up information on pretty much every e-mail I send.
Of course, the head of the NSA has come out and said how these wonderful surveillance efforts have lead to the stopping of 50 plots against us. Of course, he won't give much detailed information about any of these because it's a secret. I have no secrets, he gets to keep all of his? That's not the way to have a debate or discussion.
If we could look at the details, we would probably discover that many of these plots could have been discovered in ways other than vacuuming up metadata on every phone call and e-mail. We might discover that there would have been plenty of time to get warrants for the specific individuals vs. invading the privacy of all of us. But we won't get a lot of these details.
Several editorial cartoonists have been quite succinct in pointing out the ludicrousness of many of the same Senators who filibustered reasonable background check legislation for gun sales now turning around to say it's perfectly fine for the government to get the metadata for every single phone call I make. I guess it could be argued that I am inconsistent for wanting my metadata to be protected while thinking background checks for guns are a good idea, but isn't there a common sense difference between placing a phone call and buying a weapon used to kill people?
I don't buy the idea that my e-mails aren't being looked at because that program is limited to getting data for people overseas. I happen to email people overseas almost all the time, and I have this hunch that the computer that vacuums up the emails of those people will vacuum mine up along with it. Have you ever sent an e-mail where the chain includes ten other e-mails? Even, on occasion, the computer might fold in some e-mail from a completely different conversation because you started a new conversation in a reply or had the same subject line.
My blog is supposed to be about publishing, so I want to make this conversation a little bit relevant.
Government power: A lot of us think the Department of Justice had a pretty weak case against Apple and the major publishers on e-book price fixing. The publishers changed to a model that reduced the power of Amazon, which had 90% of the e-book business and was selling e-books as loss leaders. Amazon provided a lot of the information and a lot of the impetus behind the lawsuit. Yet the publishers all ended up settling. Why? Well, it's pretty simple. The government has a lot of power and a lot of tools and a lot of resources, and when it decides to use those against you, it's awfully hard to resist. Why do you want to give the government such benefit of the doubt that it will vacuum up all of this information and never use it foolishly or bullyingly or in a bad way?
Asymmetric information: The next time you are negotiating a new contract with a publisher, ask the publisher to show you their P&L (profit & loss) statement for the proposed acquisition. See how far you'll get! For all the increased amounts of information some publishers are providing, like real-time information to hard sales numbers, they are never going to negotiate where you have equal access to information with them. They will never tell you what their actual excess of revenue over expenses is, and let you see exactly how much of that money they are willing to give to you and how much they intend to keep for themselves. And if I come up with my own best guesses... you can trust me on this, that the publisher will always say I'm wrong but never come up with a specific beyond that. It's similar here. The government isn't engaged in an open exchange with any of us. The information we need to know is a secret, and all of our information is there for them to look at. And you don't have an agent in this negotiation.
His argument: I like civil liberties, civil liberties will take it on the chin even more than they are now if we have another 9-11 style attack. So the government should do all that is can to prevent another such attack, and if that's what the surveillance is doing, I'm in favor of it. Also, that this has been going on for two American presidencies now.
What an idiot!
OK, I mean, Thomas Friedman isn't an idiot, and there's a certain soothing logic to his column which reflects an opinion that's apparently shared by a lot of my fellow Americans.
But it's wrong, it's misguided, and quite obviously so.
It took me several days of mulling over Thomas Friedman's soothing article to zone in on the basic fallacy, but once you do, it's really quite simple.
And that fallacy is this: There is no guarantee that any of the NSA programs will stop another 9-11 type attack. The fact that the Boston Marathon bombings could take place is kind of proof positive that we cannot be 100% protected from terrorist activity. Since neither Thomas Friedman nor President Obama nor the head of the CIA or NSA or Senator Diane Feinstein (D-CA) or Speaker John Bonier (R-OH) or any of the other many people defending this surveillance cannot guarantee that their efforts will not protect us 100% from another 9-11, I would respectfully ask that my 4th Amendment rights be protected and that the government not go vacuuming up information on every single phone call I make. And that the government not go vacuuming up information on pretty much every e-mail I send.
Of course, the head of the NSA has come out and said how these wonderful surveillance efforts have lead to the stopping of 50 plots against us. Of course, he won't give much detailed information about any of these because it's a secret. I have no secrets, he gets to keep all of his? That's not the way to have a debate or discussion.
If we could look at the details, we would probably discover that many of these plots could have been discovered in ways other than vacuuming up metadata on every phone call and e-mail. We might discover that there would have been plenty of time to get warrants for the specific individuals vs. invading the privacy of all of us. But we won't get a lot of these details.
Several editorial cartoonists have been quite succinct in pointing out the ludicrousness of many of the same Senators who filibustered reasonable background check legislation for gun sales now turning around to say it's perfectly fine for the government to get the metadata for every single phone call I make. I guess it could be argued that I am inconsistent for wanting my metadata to be protected while thinking background checks for guns are a good idea, but isn't there a common sense difference between placing a phone call and buying a weapon used to kill people?
I don't buy the idea that my e-mails aren't being looked at because that program is limited to getting data for people overseas. I happen to email people overseas almost all the time, and I have this hunch that the computer that vacuums up the emails of those people will vacuum mine up along with it. Have you ever sent an e-mail where the chain includes ten other e-mails? Even, on occasion, the computer might fold in some e-mail from a completely different conversation because you started a new conversation in a reply or had the same subject line.
My blog is supposed to be about publishing, so I want to make this conversation a little bit relevant.
Government power: A lot of us think the Department of Justice had a pretty weak case against Apple and the major publishers on e-book price fixing. The publishers changed to a model that reduced the power of Amazon, which had 90% of the e-book business and was selling e-books as loss leaders. Amazon provided a lot of the information and a lot of the impetus behind the lawsuit. Yet the publishers all ended up settling. Why? Well, it's pretty simple. The government has a lot of power and a lot of tools and a lot of resources, and when it decides to use those against you, it's awfully hard to resist. Why do you want to give the government such benefit of the doubt that it will vacuum up all of this information and never use it foolishly or bullyingly or in a bad way?
Asymmetric information: The next time you are negotiating a new contract with a publisher, ask the publisher to show you their P&L (profit & loss) statement for the proposed acquisition. See how far you'll get! For all the increased amounts of information some publishers are providing, like real-time information to hard sales numbers, they are never going to negotiate where you have equal access to information with them. They will never tell you what their actual excess of revenue over expenses is, and let you see exactly how much of that money they are willing to give to you and how much they intend to keep for themselves. And if I come up with my own best guesses... you can trust me on this, that the publisher will always say I'm wrong but never come up with a specific beyond that. It's similar here. The government isn't engaged in an open exchange with any of us. The information we need to know is a secret, and all of our information is there for them to look at. And you don't have an agent in this negotiation.
Labels:
Homeland 'Security',
personals,
rants,
surveillance
Thursday, June 6, 2013
Every Move You Make I'll Be Watching You
The British newspaper The Guardian found out that the US has very likely been receiving details of every phone call most of us make -- who we called, when we called them, how long we spoke.
Where are all of those constitution lovers who are so fond of my 2nd amendment rights to start using those guns to fight against this colossal infringement of our 4th amendment rights?
I'm bothered not just by the blatant violation of privacy rights but by the idiocy of this and of everyone who defends this.
Let's take a specific scenario, where the government knows that some particular person is a terrorist. Well, the government has always had the ability to go to a judge and get a warrant and find out who is calling this person and who this person calls, and even to listen in on the phone calls. Some of these abilities are impaired by the switch from land lines to cell phones. The calls no longer go through particular switching stations for particular phone lines in particular places where the government can attach a tap. However, solving that problem doesn't require getting detailed reporting on who every person in the country speaks to for how long. So the government isn't, in this instance, adding anything helpful for people whom we know are terrorists.
Let's say the government doesn't know someone is a terrorist until they do something bad. In such an instance, yes, the government might be able to review records retrospectively and find out who called this phone number. Emphasis on retrospectively. This is closing the barn door after cows left, after bad guy does his bad thing.
If you want to say that this is a good thing because we can catch this bad person and keep him from doing another bad thing -- well, I can't argue with that. But what I can say is that this isn't what the United States is all about, or at least not that the US is supposed to be about. We're not East Germany in the 1970s, where everyone was spying on everyone else. We don't keep everyone in prison because we suspect all of us might commit a crime someday. Or at least we're not supposed to do these things.
And once you start saying that all these little things are perfectly fine because we can't risk anything bad ever happening to us -- again, that's an argument we had 230 years ago which led to our having a Bill of Rights, and those rights are supposed to protect us from exactly this kind of thing.
So again, where are all the second amendment defenders now, when the fourth amendment is once again under attack?
There's also a practical problem here. For all the computers in the world that make our lives easier, there are real costs to our government to collect all of this data, to organize all of this data, and then the government is either just putting the data off in some dark corner just in case or it's taking time to have people look at all of those phone records for everyone. That's a lot of infrastructure, a lot of people, a lot of lots of things, all to go looking at data which is 99.9999% useless, records of calls that don't mean anything. But which are there.
So if you don't want the government collecting gun records for newspapers to find so that everyone knows where the guns are, do you want the government to have all this information on all the people you've called, how long you spoke to them, information which could somehow get out into the world and into the newspapers?
It gets worse. The government's also been collecting gobs of data from everyone who surfs the web from outside the US, around $20M worth a year for that expense according to The Guardian.
Where are all of those constitution lovers who are so fond of my 2nd amendment rights to start using those guns to fight against this colossal infringement of our 4th amendment rights?
I'm bothered not just by the blatant violation of privacy rights but by the idiocy of this and of everyone who defends this.
Let's take a specific scenario, where the government knows that some particular person is a terrorist. Well, the government has always had the ability to go to a judge and get a warrant and find out who is calling this person and who this person calls, and even to listen in on the phone calls. Some of these abilities are impaired by the switch from land lines to cell phones. The calls no longer go through particular switching stations for particular phone lines in particular places where the government can attach a tap. However, solving that problem doesn't require getting detailed reporting on who every person in the country speaks to for how long. So the government isn't, in this instance, adding anything helpful for people whom we know are terrorists.
Let's say the government doesn't know someone is a terrorist until they do something bad. In such an instance, yes, the government might be able to review records retrospectively and find out who called this phone number. Emphasis on retrospectively. This is closing the barn door after cows left, after bad guy does his bad thing.
If you want to say that this is a good thing because we can catch this bad person and keep him from doing another bad thing -- well, I can't argue with that. But what I can say is that this isn't what the United States is all about, or at least not that the US is supposed to be about. We're not East Germany in the 1970s, where everyone was spying on everyone else. We don't keep everyone in prison because we suspect all of us might commit a crime someday. Or at least we're not supposed to do these things.
And once you start saying that all these little things are perfectly fine because we can't risk anything bad ever happening to us -- again, that's an argument we had 230 years ago which led to our having a Bill of Rights, and those rights are supposed to protect us from exactly this kind of thing.
So again, where are all the second amendment defenders now, when the fourth amendment is once again under attack?
There's also a practical problem here. For all the computers in the world that make our lives easier, there are real costs to our government to collect all of this data, to organize all of this data, and then the government is either just putting the data off in some dark corner just in case or it's taking time to have people look at all of those phone records for everyone. That's a lot of infrastructure, a lot of people, a lot of lots of things, all to go looking at data which is 99.9999% useless, records of calls that don't mean anything. But which are there.
So if you don't want the government collecting gun records for newspapers to find so that everyone knows where the guns are, do you want the government to have all this information on all the people you've called, how long you spoke to them, information which could somehow get out into the world and into the newspapers?
It gets worse. The government's also been collecting gobs of data from everyone who surfs the web from outside the US, around $20M worth a year for that expense according to The Guardian.
Sunday, June 2, 2013
Your Opinion is Important to Us
Since I still have a land line it is susceptible to getting calls from polling companies.
I kind of like this. It is occasionally interesting because you can tell who's paying for the poll by the kinds of questions being asked and the way they are being phrased. And who doesn't want to be asked their opinion.
But I've got to take a few minutes to complain in public about a call I got yesterday.
I was sitting around watching tennis from Roland Garros, so I figured I could watch tennis and be polled at the same time. And the person taking the poll assures me it's just a few questions and won't go on for very long at all.
It turns out to be a poll on the NYC mayor's race. I'm asked multiple times to choose whom I would vote for today, which I refuse to do. There are two or three candidates I am strongly considering and a few I am strongly not, and I don't want to pick a side now when there haven't been any debates and the contest not yet fully in swing. I'm read biographical descriptions of each candidate, all of them very much like what the candidates themselves would write. Then there are questionable actions about each candidate that are read off, and I'm asked to say if these things give me super strong doubts or tiny doubts or no doubts.
I admire the even-handedness of the poll. The biographies aren't suspiciously shady, and the doubt raising questions are all legitimate. This one did block paid sick leave legislation, that one did have shady fund-raisers, another did travel through the revolving door.
However, the poll just goes on and on and on and on. It takes a long time to read several candidate biographies and several more critical statements, and to repeat every time the "doubt" scale. And I admit, I took up a few minutes pointing out that the quick poll was at ten minutes, and soon approaching twenty. And then at around 18 minutes I explained that while I was sorry to have wasted everyone's time, I was hanging up. Because I sure as heck wasn't giving more than twenty minutes of my life to participating in this poll.
And that's the thing I don't get. How do you expect anyone to participate in a poll that's going to take a half hour out of their lives? Anyone? How can you have an accurate poll when the only people you'll get to take it are people with nothing better to do for an entire half hour.
Can Nate Silver explain this to me?
I kind of like this. It is occasionally interesting because you can tell who's paying for the poll by the kinds of questions being asked and the way they are being phrased. And who doesn't want to be asked their opinion.
But I've got to take a few minutes to complain in public about a call I got yesterday.
I was sitting around watching tennis from Roland Garros, so I figured I could watch tennis and be polled at the same time. And the person taking the poll assures me it's just a few questions and won't go on for very long at all.
It turns out to be a poll on the NYC mayor's race. I'm asked multiple times to choose whom I would vote for today, which I refuse to do. There are two or three candidates I am strongly considering and a few I am strongly not, and I don't want to pick a side now when there haven't been any debates and the contest not yet fully in swing. I'm read biographical descriptions of each candidate, all of them very much like what the candidates themselves would write. Then there are questionable actions about each candidate that are read off, and I'm asked to say if these things give me super strong doubts or tiny doubts or no doubts.
I admire the even-handedness of the poll. The biographies aren't suspiciously shady, and the doubt raising questions are all legitimate. This one did block paid sick leave legislation, that one did have shady fund-raisers, another did travel through the revolving door.
However, the poll just goes on and on and on and on. It takes a long time to read several candidate biographies and several more critical statements, and to repeat every time the "doubt" scale. And I admit, I took up a few minutes pointing out that the quick poll was at ten minutes, and soon approaching twenty. And then at around 18 minutes I explained that while I was sorry to have wasted everyone's time, I was hanging up. Because I sure as heck wasn't giving more than twenty minutes of my life to participating in this poll.
And that's the thing I don't get. How do you expect anyone to participate in a poll that's going to take a half hour out of their lives? Anyone? How can you have an accurate poll when the only people you'll get to take it are people with nothing better to do for an entire half hour.
Can Nate Silver explain this to me?
Thursday, March 7, 2013
A quick rant
I don't agree with Rand Paul on much, but I'd be remiss not to thank him for doing a little battle against the never-ending war against "Al Qaeda" we are fighting with drones. I put "Al Qaeda" in quotes because it deserves to be. The entity that attacked us on 9/11 is pretty much out of business. The other organizations that call themselves Al Qaeda this or that are not Al Qaeda, no more than someone else can call themselves a Bilmes or a Joshua or a Joshua Bilmes and not be me. And even though I am not in favor of any of these organizations attacking us or for that matter attacking other people, including other Muslims, which they do as or more often as attacking us, I am in favor of the rule of law. Targeted assassinations against targets determined behind closed doors under a program with no oversight, no accountability, no nothing, with the administration not even willing to entirely preclude carrying out attacks like this as opposed to arrest and trial even when they can do so -- those aren't the rule of law. And as people who read this blog know, I wish that libertarians and especially gun nut libertarians would stop fixating all their attention on the 2nd amendment when we are doing far worse violence against multiple other amendments that are as or more important in the name of some undefinable never-ending impossible-to-ever-have-an-ending war on terrorism that has been going strong for almost 11.5 years.
So, yes, please, let's get on John Brennan and Eric Holder and the Obama administration just a wee bit on all of this.
So, yes, please, let's get on John Brennan and Eric Holder and the Obama administration just a wee bit on all of this.
Labels:
Homeland 'Security',
personals,
politics,
rants
Tuesday, March 5, 2013
Idle Musings
I just feel like ranting about a thing or two today:
The Keystone Pipeline. I'm a leftie, you read the blog and you know that, I believe in climate change, I believe in not running the AC 24/7 during the summer or leaving store doors open to hot streets while running the AC at 72 degrees in the summer, I believe in rapid transit over cars. But I'm not a crazy leftie, I do all those wonderful things and then like to fly in business class to London Book Fair so I can have a good healthy carbon footprint just like everyone else. The environmentalists shouldn't be fighting the Keystone Pipeline like it is the end of the planet. Yes, the arguments in favor of the pipeline are almost certainly a lot of hooey with regard to the jobs created. But stopping the pipeline isn't going to stop anything else. The oil locked in the Canadian tar sands is coming out no matter what, it is getting to market one way or the other, it's happening. Did you ever see the movie Silver Streak, and the train's roaring along at the end of the movie. That train is the tar sands. Now, if Gene Wilder and Richard Pryor had decided to take away the train track, the train was still going to keep coming, maybe crashed or derailed and made a mess of things. If you wanted to stop the train, you had to get into the engine. The opposition to Keystone isn't taking control of the engine, it isn't stopping the train, the best you can say is that it might lead to a tidier crash, but the people who are opposing Keystone can't say that for sure, their crash may be worse.
The sequester. As some background, I've been ambivalent about the sequester. The big reason for me is that it's so hard to get any defense cuts through normal budget processes, and the sequester doesn't spare the defense department. We spend more money on defense than the next eight or ten countries combined. You just can't tell me that with all that money we're spending we can't find ways to spend less and still defend the country. As an example, why don't we keep one or two bases in Germany or someplace like that to have a nice military hospital and an airfield to help as staging for far away conflicts, and otherwise remove troops from Europe seventy years after World War II and 25 years after the end of the cold war? I've gotten really super tired of having the SecDef going before Congress to bemoan the sequester and all the harm it's doing and wish Obama, who is after all the boss of things, had told SecDef to shut the f*ck up instead of carrying water for Lockheed. My opposition to the sequester might be as quixotic or foolish as Bill McKibben's to the Keystone Pipeline because over time, the Lockheed lobbyists will have a lot more money to spend getting their money back from DoD than the advocates for needy people who are losing things in the sequester as well, but it is what it is.
But certainly, if you want to replace the sequester that you helped create, the way to do it isn't by having this constant parade of chicken little forecasts not just about DoD but about everything else. Because ultimately, a lot of these cuts will take place over time in such a way that they are not discernable to the average person. Or the departments will find some way to move fungible money around or move job titles around where the craziest cuts don't materialize. What the average person will see is that we've had the sequester, in spite of chicken little's visit the world hasn't come to an end, and that we can cut the budget. And they will go from there to deciding that we can in fact run the government without raising taxes or cutting tax expenditures (a.ka. eliminating tax loopholes) or doing anything on the revenue side. In essence all of Obama's complaining isn't going to help him on the revenue front, it's going to hurt him, he should have just kept his yap shot and his SecDef's mouth shut and everyone else's mouth shut.
But as we've seen time and again, President Obama is not a good negotiator.
I did a tweet about this next subject. In the good old days, people sent manuscripts and there were rules to follow. Some of those rules aren't relevant any more. It doesn't matter if your electronic manuscript is double-spaced, because so much stuff is now being done electronically. Your editor reading on a Kindle doesn't care what font or size or line spacing you had going in. If the copy-editor does actually need to look at the manuscript, it's a minute to change the format on a global basis for the file. But there's one rule that needs to be followed and which many people don't. You still need a title page with your contact details at the front of your manuscript. For the exact same reason you needed your address in the old days, only more so. In the old days, maybe your query got separated from the SASE or your manuscript got separated from your cover letter. Now, it is 100% sure that they will be. I will take your attached manuscript, I will put it on my iPad, I will often reformat it into ePub for that purpose to read in iBooks, and there it will sit on my iPad. Your email? It will be somewhere in the cloud. Maybe your e-mail address will be stored as a sent-to address or maybe not or stored under your email address instead of your name. Maybe I'll want to call you instead of e-mailing you. Think how much nicer it is for me to go to the front of your manuscript and find all your details there and waiting, vs. having to go and seek out an email from three weeks or three months ago when the submission arrived, only to find that even then, I may want to call you to give the wonderful news that I want to represent your fine first novel, and you've sent me an email that doesn't even have a signature block on it.
We now continue with our regularly scheduled programming. Thank you for listening to me rant.
The Keystone Pipeline. I'm a leftie, you read the blog and you know that, I believe in climate change, I believe in not running the AC 24/7 during the summer or leaving store doors open to hot streets while running the AC at 72 degrees in the summer, I believe in rapid transit over cars. But I'm not a crazy leftie, I do all those wonderful things and then like to fly in business class to London Book Fair so I can have a good healthy carbon footprint just like everyone else. The environmentalists shouldn't be fighting the Keystone Pipeline like it is the end of the planet. Yes, the arguments in favor of the pipeline are almost certainly a lot of hooey with regard to the jobs created. But stopping the pipeline isn't going to stop anything else. The oil locked in the Canadian tar sands is coming out no matter what, it is getting to market one way or the other, it's happening. Did you ever see the movie Silver Streak, and the train's roaring along at the end of the movie. That train is the tar sands. Now, if Gene Wilder and Richard Pryor had decided to take away the train track, the train was still going to keep coming, maybe crashed or derailed and made a mess of things. If you wanted to stop the train, you had to get into the engine. The opposition to Keystone isn't taking control of the engine, it isn't stopping the train, the best you can say is that it might lead to a tidier crash, but the people who are opposing Keystone can't say that for sure, their crash may be worse.
The sequester. As some background, I've been ambivalent about the sequester. The big reason for me is that it's so hard to get any defense cuts through normal budget processes, and the sequester doesn't spare the defense department. We spend more money on defense than the next eight or ten countries combined. You just can't tell me that with all that money we're spending we can't find ways to spend less and still defend the country. As an example, why don't we keep one or two bases in Germany or someplace like that to have a nice military hospital and an airfield to help as staging for far away conflicts, and otherwise remove troops from Europe seventy years after World War II and 25 years after the end of the cold war? I've gotten really super tired of having the SecDef going before Congress to bemoan the sequester and all the harm it's doing and wish Obama, who is after all the boss of things, had told SecDef to shut the f*ck up instead of carrying water for Lockheed. My opposition to the sequester might be as quixotic or foolish as Bill McKibben's to the Keystone Pipeline because over time, the Lockheed lobbyists will have a lot more money to spend getting their money back from DoD than the advocates for needy people who are losing things in the sequester as well, but it is what it is.
But certainly, if you want to replace the sequester that you helped create, the way to do it isn't by having this constant parade of chicken little forecasts not just about DoD but about everything else. Because ultimately, a lot of these cuts will take place over time in such a way that they are not discernable to the average person. Or the departments will find some way to move fungible money around or move job titles around where the craziest cuts don't materialize. What the average person will see is that we've had the sequester, in spite of chicken little's visit the world hasn't come to an end, and that we can cut the budget. And they will go from there to deciding that we can in fact run the government without raising taxes or cutting tax expenditures (a.ka. eliminating tax loopholes) or doing anything on the revenue side. In essence all of Obama's complaining isn't going to help him on the revenue front, it's going to hurt him, he should have just kept his yap shot and his SecDef's mouth shut and everyone else's mouth shut.
But as we've seen time and again, President Obama is not a good negotiator.
I did a tweet about this next subject. In the good old days, people sent manuscripts and there were rules to follow. Some of those rules aren't relevant any more. It doesn't matter if your electronic manuscript is double-spaced, because so much stuff is now being done electronically. Your editor reading on a Kindle doesn't care what font or size or line spacing you had going in. If the copy-editor does actually need to look at the manuscript, it's a minute to change the format on a global basis for the file. But there's one rule that needs to be followed and which many people don't. You still need a title page with your contact details at the front of your manuscript. For the exact same reason you needed your address in the old days, only more so. In the old days, maybe your query got separated from the SASE or your manuscript got separated from your cover letter. Now, it is 100% sure that they will be. I will take your attached manuscript, I will put it on my iPad, I will often reformat it into ePub for that purpose to read in iBooks, and there it will sit on my iPad. Your email? It will be somewhere in the cloud. Maybe your e-mail address will be stored as a sent-to address or maybe not or stored under your email address instead of your name. Maybe I'll want to call you instead of e-mailing you. Think how much nicer it is for me to go to the front of your manuscript and find all your details there and waiting, vs. having to go and seek out an email from three weeks or three months ago when the submission arrived, only to find that even then, I may want to call you to give the wonderful news that I want to represent your fine first novel, and you've sent me an email that doesn't even have a signature block on it.
We now continue with our regularly scheduled programming. Thank you for listening to me rant.
Friday, January 11, 2013
The Changing Scene
Once upon a time I used to take a free weekend afternoon and do a grand circuit of Manhattan bookstores, up 2nd Ave. maybe stopping at Black Orchid mystery store if it was open, two Barnes & Nobles on E. 86th St., thru Central Park, 2 B&Ns on Broadway on the Upper West Side, then the Borders on Columbus Circle and the Borders on Park Ave.
That was a long time ago!
Now, it's been months and months and months since I've been to the mega-B&N on E. 86th that replaced two smaller and inadequate locations. But I needed to buy three books by a couple published authors who are talking to us, I decided to buy them the old-fashioned way, the B&N was supposed to have all three.
So up 2nd Avenue I went, for the first time in ages.
Sadly, the United Artists Gemini at 2nd Ave. and 64th St. closed quietly in the fall, there's a "for lease" sign touting the "unique footprint" for retail. According to Cinema Treasures, the theatre opened as the Columbia in 1971, doesn't say exactly when it got the name of the Gemini, which is much more appropriate for a twin theatre. It had two auditoriums, an upstairs with stadium seating in the rear section and a downstairs, both with around 400 seats and pretty good-size screens. More important, unlike some other theatres of that vintage like the Coronet, which had stiff high-back seats and no leg room and was torture to sit in, the Gemini had luxurious seating rich with leg room. It was a very comfortable place to see a movie.
I first went to the Gemini in February 1986. Looking at the release date of the movie FX and thinking on the timing, I think there's a very good chance that I went there following one of my interviews at Scott Meredith during my job hunt after college, I don't think it was a stop after work in my early days on the job. So there's some sentimentality just on that account. But it wasn't the only movie I saw at the Gemini over the years. Dirty Dancing was probably the favorite movie that I saw there, others include The End of the Affair, Total Recall, The End of the Affair, Adaptation, Closer, Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon and more.
The theatre was in a stand-alone building. The air rights were sold, and as part of the deal for building atop of the theatre, a small 3rd screen was added upstairs. The Gemini wasn't a good name for a three-screen theatre, but shall we say that going from The Gemini to the UA 64th and 2nd is not change for the better? What an awful name for a movie theatre.
With changing times, this neighborhood house that often had sell-out shows became very quiet, even though the Upper East Side is horribly underscreened. I hardly went to the theatre at all in recent years, even though it was close by. There was almost always a nicer place to go to see a movie in Manhattan, even though the Gemini was nice, there were nicer. Also, Regal charges a Manhattan surcharge when using their discount tickets, AMC does not, so it would cost more to go to the Gemini.
The last movie I saw at the Gemini was Rock of Ages.
I keep track in my head of movie screens that remain intact from when I moved to NYC in 1986, with the loss of the 2 original screens at the Gemini, we're down 2. (I think the others are 84th St. 6; Ziegfeld, original 3 at Lincoln Plaza, the Quad, IFC Ctr/Waverly #1, Cinema Village #1, the DW Griffith/Big Cinemas, Cinema 2, the Paris, the NY Twin/Beekman, the 57th St. Playhouse/DGA, or 22 in all.)
Moving onward, 2nd Avenue is a mess. As they build the 2nd Ave. subway, around half the blocks from 60th St. to 86th St. have pits for building the tunnel and stations. Businesses have closed in abundance where the construction blocks them from view. Progress!
I went in to the Upper East Side Fairway for the first time. This is where one of the two B&Ns used to be, in shared retail space with a Circuit City. Fairway has taken over both spaces, is using the ground floor and basement, and the upstairs space that the B&N used to fill is backroom space for the grocery store.
The B&N, well of course it had only two of the three books it was supposed to have, 2 copies of the 3rd book supposedly came in back in July but are nowhere to be found. It was very retro, checking a variety of wrong sections that the book might have been mis-shelved in before giving up on the idea of finding it. In the early days of JABberwocky when I visited bookstores often and it was truer than now that I make my money a nickel or quarter at a time when people buy a book, I used to fixate on missing copies like these a lot more than I do now. The joy of going to a Borders on Opening Day, and finding the two books of 70 of mine that were put in the horror or mystery section when they were supposed to be in SF. Sadly, I may end up having to buy an e-book for book #3.
They had a book group event in the store with 10 people, yet B&N won't offer Manhattan signings for major sf/f authors like Peter Brett because they claim they won't get crowds. I'm reasonably sure Peter Brett could get way more than 10 people to an event on the Upper East Side of Manhattan.
It's interesting to ponder how the me of 10 years will think back on the me of today, the way the me of today thinks back on those Sunday afternoon bookstore tours of the Upper East and West Sides, and if in 20 years the movie theatres I go to all the time now will have fallen out of fashion the way the Gemini did.
That was a long time ago!
Now, it's been months and months and months since I've been to the mega-B&N on E. 86th that replaced two smaller and inadequate locations. But I needed to buy three books by a couple published authors who are talking to us, I decided to buy them the old-fashioned way, the B&N was supposed to have all three.
So up 2nd Avenue I went, for the first time in ages.
Sadly, the United Artists Gemini at 2nd Ave. and 64th St. closed quietly in the fall, there's a "for lease" sign touting the "unique footprint" for retail. According to Cinema Treasures, the theatre opened as the Columbia in 1971, doesn't say exactly when it got the name of the Gemini, which is much more appropriate for a twin theatre. It had two auditoriums, an upstairs with stadium seating in the rear section and a downstairs, both with around 400 seats and pretty good-size screens. More important, unlike some other theatres of that vintage like the Coronet, which had stiff high-back seats and no leg room and was torture to sit in, the Gemini had luxurious seating rich with leg room. It was a very comfortable place to see a movie.
I first went to the Gemini in February 1986. Looking at the release date of the movie FX and thinking on the timing, I think there's a very good chance that I went there following one of my interviews at Scott Meredith during my job hunt after college, I don't think it was a stop after work in my early days on the job. So there's some sentimentality just on that account. But it wasn't the only movie I saw at the Gemini over the years. Dirty Dancing was probably the favorite movie that I saw there, others include The End of the Affair, Total Recall, The End of the Affair, Adaptation, Closer, Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon and more.
The theatre was in a stand-alone building. The air rights were sold, and as part of the deal for building atop of the theatre, a small 3rd screen was added upstairs. The Gemini wasn't a good name for a three-screen theatre, but shall we say that going from The Gemini to the UA 64th and 2nd is not change for the better? What an awful name for a movie theatre.
With changing times, this neighborhood house that often had sell-out shows became very quiet, even though the Upper East Side is horribly underscreened. I hardly went to the theatre at all in recent years, even though it was close by. There was almost always a nicer place to go to see a movie in Manhattan, even though the Gemini was nice, there were nicer. Also, Regal charges a Manhattan surcharge when using their discount tickets, AMC does not, so it would cost more to go to the Gemini.
The last movie I saw at the Gemini was Rock of Ages.
I keep track in my head of movie screens that remain intact from when I moved to NYC in 1986, with the loss of the 2 original screens at the Gemini, we're down 2. (I think the others are 84th St. 6; Ziegfeld, original 3 at Lincoln Plaza, the Quad, IFC Ctr/Waverly #1, Cinema Village #1, the DW Griffith/Big Cinemas, Cinema 2, the Paris, the NY Twin/Beekman, the 57th St. Playhouse/DGA, or 22 in all.)
Moving onward, 2nd Avenue is a mess. As they build the 2nd Ave. subway, around half the blocks from 60th St. to 86th St. have pits for building the tunnel and stations. Businesses have closed in abundance where the construction blocks them from view. Progress!
I went in to the Upper East Side Fairway for the first time. This is where one of the two B&Ns used to be, in shared retail space with a Circuit City. Fairway has taken over both spaces, is using the ground floor and basement, and the upstairs space that the B&N used to fill is backroom space for the grocery store.
The B&N, well of course it had only two of the three books it was supposed to have, 2 copies of the 3rd book supposedly came in back in July but are nowhere to be found. It was very retro, checking a variety of wrong sections that the book might have been mis-shelved in before giving up on the idea of finding it. In the early days of JABberwocky when I visited bookstores often and it was truer than now that I make my money a nickel or quarter at a time when people buy a book, I used to fixate on missing copies like these a lot more than I do now. The joy of going to a Borders on Opening Day, and finding the two books of 70 of mine that were put in the horror or mystery section when they were supposed to be in SF. Sadly, I may end up having to buy an e-book for book #3.
They had a book group event in the store with 10 people, yet B&N won't offer Manhattan signings for major sf/f authors like Peter Brett because they claim they won't get crowds. I'm reasonably sure Peter Brett could get way more than 10 people to an event on the Upper East Side of Manhattan.
It's interesting to ponder how the me of 10 years will think back on the me of today, the way the me of today thinks back on those Sunday afternoon bookstore tours of the Upper East and West Sides, and if in 20 years the movie theatres I go to all the time now will have fallen out of fashion the way the Gemini did.
Labels:
Barnes and Noble,
business,
movies,
personals,
retailing
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